**Approaching frontal systems and increased cloud cover are the main factors keeping implied probabilities closely balanced across temperature bins for Amsterdam's August 28 maximum.** Official forecasts from multiple models indicate a transition from recent warmer, clearer conditions to unsettled southwest flow, with scattered showers or thunderstorms likely during peak heating hours, which would suppress the daily high near the long-term average of 21°C. Wind speeds of 10–18 km/h and high humidity further limit surface warming, while timing uncertainties in precipitation and any breaks in cloud cover create genuine spread in possible maxima. New ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide clearer guidance on whether peak readings trend toward the cooler or warmer side of historical norms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 28?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 28?
16°C or below 100%
17°C 100%
18°C 100%
19°C 100%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
16°C or below
100%
17°C
100%
18°C
100%
19°C
100%
20°C
100%
21°C
100%
22°C
100%
23°C
100%
24°C
100%
25°C
100%
26°C or higher
100%
16°C or below 100%
17°C 100%
18°C 100%
19°C 100%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Vol.
100%
17°C
$0 Vol.
100%
18°C
$0 Vol.
100%
19°C
$0 Vol.
100%
20°C
$0 Vol.
100%
21°C
$0 Vol.
100%
22°C
$0 Vol.
100%
23°C
$0 Vol.
100%
24°C
$0 Vol.
100%
25°C
$0 Vol.
100%
26°C or higher
$0 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Approaching frontal systems and increased cloud cover are the main factors keeping implied probabilities closely balanced across temperature bins for Amsterdam's August 28 maximum.** Official forecasts from multiple models indicate a transition from recent warmer, clearer conditions to unsettled southwest flow, with scattered showers or thunderstorms likely during peak heating hours, which would suppress the daily high near the long-term average of 21°C. Wind speeds of 10–18 km/h and high humidity further limit surface warming, while timing uncertainties in precipitation and any breaks in cloud cover create genuine spread in possible maxima. New ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide clearer guidance on whether peak readings trend toward the cooler or warmer side of historical norms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Approaching frontal systems and increased cloud cover are the main factors keeping implied probabilities closely balanced across temperature bins for Amsterdam's August 28 maximum.** Official forecasts from multiple models indicate a transition from recent warmer, clearer conditions to unsettled southwest flow, with scattered showers or thunderstorms likely during peak heating hours, which would suppress the daily high near the long-term average of 21°C. Wind speeds of 10–18 km/h and high humidity further limit surface warming, while timing uncertainties in precipitation and any breaks in cloud cover create genuine spread in possible maxima. New ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide clearer guidance on whether peak readings trend toward the cooler or warmer side of historical norms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Approaching frontal systems and increased cloud cover are the main factors keeping implied probabilities closely balanced across temperature bins for Amsterdam's August 28 maximum.** Official forecasts from multiple models indicate a transition from recent warmer, clearer conditions to unsettled southwest flow, with scattered showers or thunderstorms likely during peak heating hours, which would suppress the daily high near the long-term average of 21°C. Wind speeds of 10–18 km/h and high humidity further limit surface warming, while timing uncertainties in precipitation and any breaks in cloud cover create genuine spread in possible maxima. New ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide clearer guidance on whether peak readings trend toward the cooler or warmer side of historical norms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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