Trader sentiment for Guangzhou's August 28 maximum temperature remains evenly split across bins due to forecast uncertainty in convective activity two days ahead. Subtropical monsoon conditions, modulated by moist air from the South China Sea, favor scattered thunderstorms that can reduce solar insolation and cap daytime peaks near the 33°C climatological average. Model runs show variability in cloud cover and timing of rainfall, which directly influences whether surface heating reaches 32–34°C or allows brief clears pushing toward 35°C or higher. Urban heat island effects in the Pearl River Delta amplify sensitivity to these short-term changes, while weak steering winds limit rapid shifts. Updated regional model guidance expected within 24 hours will likely clarify resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 28?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 28?
27°C or below 100%
28°C 100%
29°C 100%
30°C 100%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
27°C or below
100%
28°C
100%
29°C
100%
30°C
100%
31°C
100%
32°C
100%
33°C
100%
34°C
100%
35°C
100%
36°C
100%
37°C or higher
100%
27°C or below 100%
28°C 100%
29°C 100%
30°C 100%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
27°C or below
$0 Vol.
100%
28°C
$0 Vol.
100%
29°C
$0 Vol.
100%
30°C
$0 Vol.
100%
31°C
$0 Vol.
100%
32°C
$0 Vol.
100%
33°C
$0 Vol.
100%
34°C
$0 Vol.
100%
35°C
$0 Vol.
100%
36°C
$0 Vol.
100%
37°C or higher
$0 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Guangzhou's August 28 maximum temperature remains evenly split across bins due to forecast uncertainty in convective activity two days ahead. Subtropical monsoon conditions, modulated by moist air from the South China Sea, favor scattered thunderstorms that can reduce solar insolation and cap daytime peaks near the 33°C climatological average. Model runs show variability in cloud cover and timing of rainfall, which directly influences whether surface heating reaches 32–34°C or allows brief clears pushing toward 35°C or higher. Urban heat island effects in the Pearl River Delta amplify sensitivity to these short-term changes, while weak steering winds limit rapid shifts. Updated regional model guidance expected within 24 hours will likely clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Guangzhou's August 28 maximum temperature remains evenly split across bins due to forecast uncertainty in convective activity two days ahead. Subtropical monsoon conditions, modulated by moist air from the South China Sea, favor scattered thunderstorms that can reduce solar insolation and cap daytime peaks near the 33°C climatological average. Model runs show variability in cloud cover and timing of rainfall, which directly influences whether surface heating reaches 32–34°C or allows brief clears pushing toward 35°C or higher. Urban heat island effects in the Pearl River Delta amplify sensitivity to these short-term changes, while weak steering winds limit rapid shifts. Updated regional model guidance expected within 24 hours will likely clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Guangzhou's August 28 maximum temperature remains evenly split across bins due to forecast uncertainty in convective activity two days ahead. Subtropical monsoon conditions, modulated by moist air from the South China Sea, favor scattered thunderstorms that can reduce solar insolation and cap daytime peaks near the 33°C climatological average. Model runs show variability in cloud cover and timing of rainfall, which directly influences whether surface heating reaches 32–34°C or allows brief clears pushing toward 35°C or higher. Urban heat island effects in the Pearl River Delta amplify sensitivity to these short-term changes, while weak steering winds limit rapid shifts. Updated regional model guidance expected within 24 hours will likely clarify resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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