Recent forecasts for Beijing on August 28 indicate a high near 22–25°C amid widespread cloud cover and light rain, suppressing daytime heating well below the late-August climatological average of ~29–30°C. Persistent moisture from recent frontal systems, combined with northerly flow and reduced insolation, limits boundary-layer warming and caps the maximum. Model consensus shows modest spread in exact peak values depending on rainfall timing and cloud thickness, creating the balanced market-implied odds across adjacent temperature bins. Updated CMA and global ensemble runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow resolution criteria for this short-range market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on August 28?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 28?
20°C or below 100%
21°C 100%
22°C 100%
23°C 100%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
20°C or below
100%
21°C
100%
22°C
100%
23°C
100%
24°C
100%
25°C
100%
26°C
100%
27°C
100%
28°C
100%
29°C
100%
30°C or higher
100%
20°C or below 100%
21°C 100%
22°C 100%
23°C 100%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
100%
21°C
$0 Vol.
100%
22°C
$0 Vol.
100%
23°C
$0 Vol.
100%
24°C
$0 Vol.
100%
25°C
$0 Vol.
100%
26°C
$0 Vol.
100%
27°C
$0 Vol.
100%
28°C
$0 Vol.
100%
29°C
$0 Vol.
100%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Beijing on August 28 indicate a high near 22–25°C amid widespread cloud cover and light rain, suppressing daytime heating well below the late-August climatological average of ~29–30°C. Persistent moisture from recent frontal systems, combined with northerly flow and reduced insolation, limits boundary-layer warming and caps the maximum. Model consensus shows modest spread in exact peak values depending on rainfall timing and cloud thickness, creating the balanced market-implied odds across adjacent temperature bins. Updated CMA and global ensemble runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow resolution criteria for this short-range market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Beijing on August 28 indicate a high near 22–25°C amid widespread cloud cover and light rain, suppressing daytime heating well below the late-August climatological average of ~29–30°C. Persistent moisture from recent frontal systems, combined with northerly flow and reduced insolation, limits boundary-layer warming and caps the maximum. Model consensus shows modest spread in exact peak values depending on rainfall timing and cloud thickness, creating the balanced market-implied odds across adjacent temperature bins. Updated CMA and global ensemble runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow resolution criteria for this short-range market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Beijing on August 28 indicate a high near 22–25°C amid widespread cloud cover and light rain, suppressing daytime heating well below the late-August climatological average of ~29–30°C. Persistent moisture from recent frontal systems, combined with northerly flow and reduced insolation, limits boundary-layer warming and caps the maximum. Model consensus shows modest spread in exact peak values depending on rainfall timing and cloud thickness, creating the balanced market-implied odds across adjacent temperature bins. Updated CMA and global ensemble runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow resolution criteria for this short-range market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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