Recent official forecasts for Shenzhen on August 28 center on highs of 31–33°C amid persistent monsoon moisture, scattered thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover that can limit solar heating by several degrees. Subtropical humidity and light winds support this range, consistent with August climatology of 32°C average highs, while any clearing or reduced rainfall could allow brief spikes toward 34–35°C. The evenly matched market-implied odds across bins reflect genuine short-range model uncertainty typical two days ahead, where small shifts in precipitation timing or atmospheric stability can easily differentiate outcomes between the mid-20s and mid-30s. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies will likely refine the consensus before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 28?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 28?
26°C or below 100%
27°C 100%
28°C 100%
29°C 100%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
26°C or below
100%
27°C
100%
28°C
100%
29°C
100%
30°C
100%
31°C
100%
32°C
100%
33°C
100%
34°C
100%
35°C
100%
36°C or higher
100%
26°C or below 100%
27°C 100%
28°C 100%
29°C 100%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
26°C or below
$0 Vol.
100%
27°C
$0 Vol.
100%
28°C
$0 Vol.
100%
29°C
$0 Vol.
100%
30°C
$0 Vol.
100%
31°C
$0 Vol.
100%
32°C
$0 Vol.
100%
33°C
$0 Vol.
100%
34°C
$0 Vol.
100%
35°C
$0 Vol.
100%
36°C or higher
$0 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Shenzhen on August 28 center on highs of 31–33°C amid persistent monsoon moisture, scattered thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover that can limit solar heating by several degrees. Subtropical humidity and light winds support this range, consistent with August climatology of 32°C average highs, while any clearing or reduced rainfall could allow brief spikes toward 34–35°C. The evenly matched market-implied odds across bins reflect genuine short-range model uncertainty typical two days ahead, where small shifts in precipitation timing or atmospheric stability can easily differentiate outcomes between the mid-20s and mid-30s. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies will likely refine the consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Shenzhen on August 28 center on highs of 31–33°C amid persistent monsoon moisture, scattered thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover that can limit solar heating by several degrees. Subtropical humidity and light winds support this range, consistent with August climatology of 32°C average highs, while any clearing or reduced rainfall could allow brief spikes toward 34–35°C. The evenly matched market-implied odds across bins reflect genuine short-range model uncertainty typical two days ahead, where small shifts in precipitation timing or atmospheric stability can easily differentiate outcomes between the mid-20s and mid-30s. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies will likely refine the consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts for Shenzhen on August 28 center on highs of 31–33°C amid persistent monsoon moisture, scattered thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover that can limit solar heating by several degrees. Subtropical humidity and light winds support this range, consistent with August climatology of 32°C average highs, while any clearing or reduced rainfall could allow brief spikes toward 34–35°C. The evenly matched market-implied odds across bins reflect genuine short-range model uncertainty typical two days ahead, where small shifts in precipitation timing or atmospheric stability can easily differentiate outcomes between the mid-20s and mid-30s. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies will likely refine the consensus before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions