**Forecast uncertainty around typical late-August minima is driving evenly matched market odds across temperature bins for Helsinki's lowest temperature on August 28.** Current short-range models from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and global ensembles point to overnight lows near 13–15°C, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 12.1°C for the date. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and wind patterns that modulate radiative cooling, with recent days showing mild conditions and light precipitation that could either suppress or allow slightly lower readings depending on timing. Higher-resolution updates expected from ECMWF and local agencies over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen the range, as steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture remain the dominant variables in this coastal setting. Trader consensus reflects this genuine forecast spread rather than any single outlier scenario.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Helsinki on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Helsinki on August 28?
6°C or below 100%
7°C 100%
8°C 100%
9°C 100%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
6°C or below
100%
7°C
100%
8°C
100%
9°C
100%
10°C
100%
11°C
100%
12°C
100%
13°C
100%
14°C
100%
15°C
100%
16°C or higher
100%
6°C or below 100%
7°C 100%
8°C 100%
9°C 100%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
6°C or below
$0 Vol.
100%
7°C
$0 Vol.
100%
8°C
$0 Vol.
100%
9°C
$0 Vol.
100%
10°C
$0 Vol.
100%
11°C
$0 Vol.
100%
12°C
$0 Vol.
100%
13°C
$0 Vol.
100%
14°C
$0 Vol.
100%
15°C
$0 Vol.
100%
16°C or higher
$0 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty around typical late-August minima is driving evenly matched market odds across temperature bins for Helsinki's lowest temperature on August 28.**
Current short-range models from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and global ensembles point to overnight lows near 13–15°C, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 12.1°C for the date. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and wind patterns that modulate radiative cooling, with recent days showing mild conditions and light precipitation that could either suppress or allow slightly lower readings depending on timing. Higher-resolution updates expected from ECMWF and local agencies over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen the range, as steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture remain the dominant variables in this coastal setting. Trader consensus reflects this genuine forecast spread rather than any single outlier scenario.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty around typical late-August minima is driving evenly matched market odds across temperature bins for Helsinki's lowest temperature on August 28.**
Current short-range models from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and global ensembles point to overnight lows near 13–15°C, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 12.1°C for the date. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and wind patterns that modulate radiative cooling, with recent days showing mild conditions and light precipitation that could either suppress or allow slightly lower readings depending on timing. Higher-resolution updates expected from ECMWF and local agencies over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen the range, as steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture remain the dominant variables in this coastal setting. Trader consensus reflects this genuine forecast spread rather than any single outlier scenario.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast uncertainty around typical late-August minima is driving evenly matched market odds across temperature bins for Helsinki's lowest temperature on August 28.** Current short-range models from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and global ensembles point to overnight lows near 13–15°C, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 12.1°C for the date. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and wind patterns that modulate radiative cooling, with recent days showing mild conditions and light precipitation that could either suppress or allow slightly lower readings depending on timing. Higher-resolution updates expected from ECMWF and local agencies over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen the range, as steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture remain the dominant variables in this coastal setting. Trader consensus reflects this genuine forecast spread rather than any single outlier scenario.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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