Recent forecasts from multiple models project daytime highs of 32–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 26, reflecting persistent late-summer heat under partly cloudy skies with limited precipitation and light southeasterly winds. This consensus on strong solar heating and minimal atmospheric cooling supports the market's 93% implied probability for 32°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread across ensemble runs and the absence of incoming frontal systems. A sudden increase in cloud cover, heavier rain, or an unexpected northerly flow shift could lower maxima below the threshold, though current guidance assigns low likelihood to such changes before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 26?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 26?
32°C or higher 94%
31°C 7%
30°C 1.0%
29°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
94%
32°C or higher 94%
31°C 7%
30°C 1.0%
29°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
$185 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$185 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$185 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$185 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,140 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,140 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$29 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$12 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$363 Vol.
1%
31°C
$108 Vol.
7%
32°C or higher
$284 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models project daytime highs of 32–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 26, reflecting persistent late-summer heat under partly cloudy skies with limited precipitation and light southeasterly winds. This consensus on strong solar heating and minimal atmospheric cooling supports the market's 93% implied probability for 32°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread across ensemble runs and the absence of incoming frontal systems. A sudden increase in cloud cover, heavier rain, or an unexpected northerly flow shift could lower maxima below the threshold, though current guidance assigns low likelihood to such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$3,817End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models project daytime highs of 32–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 26, reflecting persistent late-summer heat under partly cloudy skies with limited precipitation and light southeasterly winds. This consensus on strong solar heating and minimal atmospheric cooling supports the market's 93% implied probability for 32°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread across ensemble runs and the absence of incoming frontal systems. A sudden increase in cloud cover, heavier rain, or an unexpected northerly flow shift could lower maxima below the threshold, though current guidance assigns low likelihood to such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,817End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models project daytime highs of 32–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 26, reflecting persistent late-summer heat under partly cloudy skies with limited precipitation and light southeasterly winds. This consensus on strong solar heating and minimal atmospheric cooling supports the market's 93% implied probability for 32°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread across ensemble runs and the absence of incoming frontal systems. A sudden increase in cloud cover, heavier rain, or an unexpected northerly flow shift could lower maxima below the threshold, though current guidance assigns low likelihood to such changes before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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