**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate overnight lows in Zhengzhou on August 25, 2026, will remain at or above 25°C.** Multiple models project minimum temperatures of 25–26.5°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions with light easterly winds and scattered showers possible. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity sustain warm nighttime temperatures despite any diurnal cooling. The market-implied 99% probability for 25°C or higher reflects this strong consensus across ensemble forecasts, with little divergence suggesting a cooler intrusion. Historical August lows in Zhengzhou average near 25°C, and recent patterns show no major frontal systems capable of driving sharper drops. Realistic challenges to this outcome would require an unforecasted surge in northerly flow or rapid radiational cooling under clear skies with drier air, neither of which current observations or model runs support. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration could refine details but are unlikely to shift the overnight minimum below the 25°C threshold given the prevailing warm, moist air mass.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25?
25°C or higher 99%
24°C 12%
23°C <1%
16°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
12%
25°C or higher
99%
25°C or higher 99%
24°C 12%
23°C <1%
16°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
15°C or below
$159 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$289 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$186 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$62 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$159 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$259 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$159 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$77 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$298 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$155 Vol.
12%
25°C or higher
$339 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate overnight lows in Zhengzhou on August 25, 2026, will remain at or above 25°C.** Multiple models project minimum temperatures of 25–26.5°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions with light easterly winds and scattered showers possible. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity sustain warm nighttime temperatures despite any diurnal cooling.
The market-implied 99% probability for 25°C or higher reflects this strong consensus across ensemble forecasts, with little divergence suggesting a cooler intrusion. Historical August lows in Zhengzhou average near 25°C, and recent patterns show no major frontal systems capable of driving sharper drops.
Realistic challenges to this outcome would require an unforecasted surge in northerly flow or rapid radiational cooling under clear skies with drier air, neither of which current observations or model runs support. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration could refine details but are unlikely to shift the overnight minimum below the 25°C threshold given the prevailing warm, moist air mass.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$2,144End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate overnight lows in Zhengzhou on August 25, 2026, will remain at or above 25°C.** Multiple models project minimum temperatures of 25–26.5°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions with light easterly winds and scattered showers possible. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity sustain warm nighttime temperatures despite any diurnal cooling.
The market-implied 99% probability for 25°C or higher reflects this strong consensus across ensemble forecasts, with little divergence suggesting a cooler intrusion. Historical August lows in Zhengzhou average near 25°C, and recent patterns show no major frontal systems capable of driving sharper drops.
Realistic challenges to this outcome would require an unforecasted surge in northerly flow or rapid radiational cooling under clear skies with drier air, neither of which current observations or model runs support. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration could refine details but are unlikely to shift the overnight minimum below the 25°C threshold given the prevailing warm, moist air mass.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,144End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate overnight lows in Zhengzhou on August 25, 2026, will remain at or above 25°C.** Multiple models project minimum temperatures of 25–26.5°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions with light easterly winds and scattered showers possible. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity sustain warm nighttime temperatures despite any diurnal cooling. The market-implied 99% probability for 25°C or higher reflects this strong consensus across ensemble forecasts, with little divergence suggesting a cooler intrusion. Historical August lows in Zhengzhou average near 25°C, and recent patterns show no major frontal systems capable of driving sharper drops. Realistic challenges to this outcome would require an unforecasted surge in northerly flow or rapid radiational cooling under clear skies with drier air, neither of which current observations or model runs support. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration could refine details but are unlikely to shift the overnight minimum below the 25°C threshold given the prevailing warm, moist air mass.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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