Recent high-pressure dominance over Poland has produced clear skies and light northeasterly winds, promoting strong nighttime radiative cooling that drives the market's tight clustering around 10–12 °C minima. Official IMGW guidance and ensemble forecasts show daily lows stabilizing near 12–13 °C, with small spreads arising from subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed across GFS and ECMWF runs. Historical August minima average near 15 °C, so current cooler anomalies reflect the stable anticyclone rather than typical variability. Fresh model updates overnight and early on the 25th will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Warsaw on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on August 26?
11°C 32%
10°C 26%
12°C 23%
13°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
7°C or below
9%
8°C
8%
9°C
14%
10°C
26%
11°C
32%
12°C
23%
13°C
16%
14°C
8%
15°C
1%
16°C
7%
17°C or higher
4%
11°C 32%
10°C 26%
12°C 23%
13°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
7°C or below
$5 Vol.
9%
8°C
$75 Vol.
8%
9°C
$0 Vol.
14%
10°C
$0 Vol.
26%
11°C
$0 Vol.
32%
12°C
$0 Vol.
23%
13°C
$0 Vol.
16%
14°C
$40 Vol.
8%
15°C
$0 Vol.
1%
16°C
$70 Vol.
7%
17°C or higher
$135 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure dominance over Poland has produced clear skies and light northeasterly winds, promoting strong nighttime radiative cooling that drives the market's tight clustering around 10–12 °C minima. Official IMGW guidance and ensemble forecasts show daily lows stabilizing near 12–13 °C, with small spreads arising from subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed across GFS and ECMWF runs. Historical August minima average near 15 °C, so current cooler anomalies reflect the stable anticyclone rather than typical variability. Fresh model updates overnight and early on the 25th will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$325End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure dominance over Poland has produced clear skies and light northeasterly winds, promoting strong nighttime radiative cooling that drives the market's tight clustering around 10–12 °C minima. Official IMGW guidance and ensemble forecasts show daily lows stabilizing near 12–13 °C, with small spreads arising from subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed across GFS and ECMWF runs. Historical August minima average near 15 °C, so current cooler anomalies reflect the stable anticyclone rather than typical variability. Fresh model updates overnight and early on the 25th will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$325End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-pressure dominance over Poland has produced clear skies and light northeasterly winds, promoting strong nighttime radiative cooling that drives the market's tight clustering around 10–12 °C minima. Official IMGW guidance and ensemble forecasts show daily lows stabilizing near 12–13 °C, with small spreads arising from subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed across GFS and ECMWF runs. Historical August minima average near 15 °C, so current cooler anomalies reflect the stable anticyclone rather than typical variability. Fresh model updates overnight and early on the 25th will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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