**Trader consensus on a 3°C daily minimum in Buenos Aires on August 24, 2026, at 99.7% implied probability reflects alignment with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts and supporting model guidance.** Following a recent polar outbreak, stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies allowed radiational cooling overnight, with hourly guidance from multiple sources showing the lowest readings clustered near 3–6°C in the pre-dawn hours before northeast winds and solar heating lifted temperatures to 12–13°C by afternoon. Official minimum thresholds and station data (typically measured at standard 2-meter height) have converged on 3°C as the expected low, consistent with climatological winter patterns for late August. Realistic challenges include localized variations at the primary observing site or final quality-controlled adjustments, though such revisions are uncommon once the daily minimum has occurred.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 24?
3°C 99.6%
2°C <1%
-1°C <1%
0°C <1%
$3,815 Vol.
$3,815 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
-2°C or below
<1%
-1°C
<1%
0°C
<1%
1°C
<1%
2°C
1%
3°C
100%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C or higher
<1%
3°C 99.6%
2°C <1%
-1°C <1%
0°C <1%
$3,815 Vol.
$3,815 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
-2°C or below
$1,077 Vol.
<1%
-1°C
$265 Vol.
<1%
0°C
$248 Vol.
<1%
1°C
$255 Vol.
<1%
2°C
$207 Vol.
1%
3°C
$331 Vol.
100%
4°C
$421 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$310 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$270 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$225 Vol.
<1%
8°C or higher
$205 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 3°C daily minimum in Buenos Aires on August 24, 2026, at 99.7% implied probability reflects alignment with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts and supporting model guidance.** Following a recent polar outbreak, stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies allowed radiational cooling overnight, with hourly guidance from multiple sources showing the lowest readings clustered near 3–6°C in the pre-dawn hours before northeast winds and solar heating lifted temperatures to 12–13°C by afternoon. Official minimum thresholds and station data (typically measured at standard 2-meter height) have converged on 3°C as the expected low, consistent with climatological winter patterns for late August.
Realistic challenges include localized variations at the primary observing site or final quality-controlled adjustments, though such revisions are uncommon once the daily minimum has occurred.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$3,815End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 3°C daily minimum in Buenos Aires on August 24, 2026, at 99.7% implied probability reflects alignment with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts and supporting model guidance.** Following a recent polar outbreak, stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies allowed radiational cooling overnight, with hourly guidance from multiple sources showing the lowest readings clustered near 3–6°C in the pre-dawn hours before northeast winds and solar heating lifted temperatures to 12–13°C by afternoon. Official minimum thresholds and station data (typically measured at standard 2-meter height) have converged on 3°C as the expected low, consistent with climatological winter patterns for late August.
Realistic challenges include localized variations at the primary observing site or final quality-controlled adjustments, though such revisions are uncommon once the daily minimum has occurred.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,815End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on a 3°C daily minimum in Buenos Aires on August 24, 2026, at 99.7% implied probability reflects alignment with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts and supporting model guidance.** Following a recent polar outbreak, stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies allowed radiational cooling overnight, with hourly guidance from multiple sources showing the lowest readings clustered near 3–6°C in the pre-dawn hours before northeast winds and solar heating lifted temperatures to 12–13°C by afternoon. Official minimum thresholds and station data (typically measured at standard 2-meter height) have converged on 3°C as the expected low, consistent with climatological winter patterns for late August. Realistic challenges include localized variations at the primary observing site or final quality-controlled adjustments, though such revisions are uncommon once the daily minimum has occurred.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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