Official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and real-time observations established a clear, stable day in Buenos Aires following a recent polar air outbreak, with minimums near 5–6°C and a gradual afternoon rise driven by solar heating and light easterly winds. Multiple reports confirm the daily maximum reached 12–13°C without precipitation or significant cloud cover, producing the market’s near-certain 13°C outcome. This aligns with typical late-August climatology after cold surges, where highs often stabilize in the low teens Celsius under high pressure. An unforecast warm advection or measurement discrepancy at official stations could theoretically alter the recorded peak, though current data and model consensus leave little room for deviation by day’s end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 24?
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$27,777 Vol.
$27,777 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$27,777 Vol.
$27,777 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and real-time observations established a clear, stable day in Buenos Aires following a recent polar air outbreak, with minimums near 5–6°C and a gradual afternoon rise driven by solar heating and light easterly winds. Multiple reports confirm the daily maximum reached 12–13°C without precipitation or significant cloud cover, producing the market’s near-certain 13°C outcome. This aligns with typical late-August climatology after cold surges, where highs often stabilize in the low teens Celsius under high pressure. An unforecast warm advection or measurement discrepancy at official stations could theoretically alter the recorded peak, though current data and model consensus leave little room for deviation by day’s end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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