Current National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a highest temperature in Denver on August 25 in the mid-to-upper 80s, with afternoon convection likely limiting peak readings. Late-summer climatology features declining solar angles and shorter daylight that typically caps highs near 84–87°F by month’s end, while recent upper-level ridging has kept conditions drier and slightly warmer than average earlier in August. Forecasters highlight a 30–40% chance of isolated thunderstorms developing after peak heating, which could further suppress the daily maximum through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. These factors align with the market’s heaviest trading around 88–89°F and secondary support near 86–87°F, as traders weigh model runs showing modest variability around the seasonal baseline. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycle are the next key data points likely to influence positioning before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 25?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 25?
88-89°F 46%
86-87°F 24%
90-91°F 20%
84-85°F 8%
NEW
$12,613 Vol.
NEW
$12,613 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
24%
88-89°F
46%
90-91°F
20%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
1%
88-89°F 46%
86-87°F 24%
90-91°F 20%
84-85°F 8%
NEW
$12,613 Vol.
NEW
$12,613 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
77°F or below
$349 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$185 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$490 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$960 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$1,840 Vol.
8%
86-87°F
$1,495 Vol.
24%
88-89°F
$5,267 Vol.
46%
90-91°F
$996 Vol.
20%
92-93°F
$768 Vol.
2%
94-95°F
$140 Vol.
<1%
96°F or higher
$127 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a highest temperature in Denver on August 25 in the mid-to-upper 80s, with afternoon convection likely limiting peak readings. Late-summer climatology features declining solar angles and shorter daylight that typically caps highs near 84–87°F by month’s end, while recent upper-level ridging has kept conditions drier and slightly warmer than average earlier in August. Forecasters highlight a 30–40% chance of isolated thunderstorms developing after peak heating, which could further suppress the daily maximum through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. These factors align with the market’s heaviest trading around 88–89°F and secondary support near 86–87°F, as traders weigh model runs showing modest variability around the seasonal baseline. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycle are the next key data points likely to influence positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$12,613End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a highest temperature in Denver on August 25 in the mid-to-upper 80s, with afternoon convection likely limiting peak readings. Late-summer climatology features declining solar angles and shorter daylight that typically caps highs near 84–87°F by month’s end, while recent upper-level ridging has kept conditions drier and slightly warmer than average earlier in August. Forecasters highlight a 30–40% chance of isolated thunderstorms developing after peak heating, which could further suppress the daily maximum through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. These factors align with the market’s heaviest trading around 88–89°F and secondary support near 86–87°F, as traders weigh model runs showing modest variability around the seasonal baseline. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycle are the next key data points likely to influence positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,613End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a highest temperature in Denver on August 25 in the mid-to-upper 80s, with afternoon convection likely limiting peak readings. Late-summer climatology features declining solar angles and shorter daylight that typically caps highs near 84–87°F by month’s end, while recent upper-level ridging has kept conditions drier and slightly warmer than average earlier in August. Forecasters highlight a 30–40% chance of isolated thunderstorms developing after peak heating, which could further suppress the daily maximum through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. These factors align with the market’s heaviest trading around 88–89°F and secondary support near 86–87°F, as traders weigh model runs showing modest variability around the seasonal baseline. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycle are the next key data points likely to influence positioning before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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