**Official observations and forecasts drove overwhelming trader consensus toward the 92-93°F bin.** National Weather Service reports from Denver (KDEN station) recorded a maximum of 91°F on August 24, 2026, reached at 2:34 PM MDT under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light southwest winds. This aligned closely with pre-event NWS guidance calling for a high near 92°F—about 6°F above the 1991-2020 normal of 86°F—amid a broader late-August warm pattern across the Front Range. Afternoon thunderstorm development remained limited and did not significantly suppress the peak, consistent with model consensus and local conditions. Traders placed near-certain probability (99.7%) on 92-93°F because real-time surface observations, forecast model runs, and historical analogs (recent 90s highs in mid-to-late August) converged tightly on that narrow range. The market-implied odds reflect aggregated, capital-backed assessment of these verifiable data streams rather than speculation. Realistic challenges to this positioning remain narrow: a final quality-controlled revision at the primary reporting station, use of an alternate urban site with a slightly different microclimate, or an undetected sensor anomaly. Such revisions are uncommon once preliminary climatological summaries are issued and would require coordinated evidence from multiple authoritative sources to shift resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 24?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 24?
92-93°F 99.8%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$30,344 Vol.
$30,344 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
100%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 99.8%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$30,344 Vol.
$30,344 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
79°F or below
$1,740 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,731 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$226 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$1,448 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$1,595 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$2,990 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$4,669 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$7,818 Vol.
100%
94-95°F
$3,009 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$3,263 Vol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$1,855 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations and forecasts drove overwhelming trader consensus toward the 92-93°F bin.** National Weather Service reports from Denver (KDEN station) recorded a maximum of 91°F on August 24, 2026, reached at 2:34 PM MDT under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light southwest winds. This aligned closely with pre-event NWS guidance calling for a high near 92°F—about 6°F above the 1991-2020 normal of 86°F—amid a broader late-August warm pattern across the Front Range. Afternoon thunderstorm development remained limited and did not significantly suppress the peak, consistent with model consensus and local conditions.
Traders placed near-certain probability (99.7%) on 92-93°F because real-time surface observations, forecast model runs, and historical analogs (recent 90s highs in mid-to-late August) converged tightly on that narrow range. The market-implied odds reflect aggregated, capital-backed assessment of these verifiable data streams rather than speculation.
Realistic challenges to this positioning remain narrow: a final quality-controlled revision at the primary reporting station, use of an alternate urban site with a slightly different microclimate, or an undetected sensor anomaly. Such revisions are uncommon once preliminary climatological summaries are issued and would require coordinated evidence from multiple authoritative sources to shift resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$30,344End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations and forecasts drove overwhelming trader consensus toward the 92-93°F bin.** National Weather Service reports from Denver (KDEN station) recorded a maximum of 91°F on August 24, 2026, reached at 2:34 PM MDT under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light southwest winds. This aligned closely with pre-event NWS guidance calling for a high near 92°F—about 6°F above the 1991-2020 normal of 86°F—amid a broader late-August warm pattern across the Front Range. Afternoon thunderstorm development remained limited and did not significantly suppress the peak, consistent with model consensus and local conditions.
Traders placed near-certain probability (99.7%) on 92-93°F because real-time surface observations, forecast model runs, and historical analogs (recent 90s highs in mid-to-late August) converged tightly on that narrow range. The market-implied odds reflect aggregated, capital-backed assessment of these verifiable data streams rather than speculation.
Realistic challenges to this positioning remain narrow: a final quality-controlled revision at the primary reporting station, use of an alternate urban site with a slightly different microclimate, or an undetected sensor anomaly. Such revisions are uncommon once preliminary climatological summaries are issued and would require coordinated evidence from multiple authoritative sources to shift resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,344End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official observations and forecasts drove overwhelming trader consensus toward the 92-93°F bin.** National Weather Service reports from Denver (KDEN station) recorded a maximum of 91°F on August 24, 2026, reached at 2:34 PM MDT under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light southwest winds. This aligned closely with pre-event NWS guidance calling for a high near 92°F—about 6°F above the 1991-2020 normal of 86°F—amid a broader late-August warm pattern across the Front Range. Afternoon thunderstorm development remained limited and did not significantly suppress the peak, consistent with model consensus and local conditions. Traders placed near-certain probability (99.7%) on 92-93°F because real-time surface observations, forecast model runs, and historical analogs (recent 90s highs in mid-to-late August) converged tightly on that narrow range. The market-implied odds reflect aggregated, capital-backed assessment of these verifiable data streams rather than speculation. Realistic challenges to this positioning remain narrow: a final quality-controlled revision at the primary reporting station, use of an alternate urban site with a slightly different microclimate, or an undetected sensor anomaly. Such revisions are uncommon once preliminary climatological summaries are issued and would require coordinated evidence from multiple authoritative sources to shift resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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