**Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) and international sources like the Met Office and TimeandDate indicate a minimum temperature for Tel Aviv on August 25, 2026, likely in the 21–26°C range, with IMS projecting a low near 21°C under high-pressure conditions and clear to partly cloudy skies.** This tight clustering of outcomes around 21–25°C reflects genuine uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling rates. Key differentiating factors include local sea surface temperatures in the Mediterranean, which limit cooling through thermal inertia and marine air advection, alongside variables such as humidity, wind speed from prevailing westerlies, and any thin cloud cover that could trap heat. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight lows near 22–24°C, but short-term model runs can shift the precise minimum by 1–3°C depending on boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any breeze onset. Traders appear to weigh these meteorological variables heavily as resolution approaches, with updated IMS briefings and observational data from Ben Gurion Airport likely to refine probabilities further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 25?
20°C 40%
23°C 32%
22°C 31%
21°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
40%
21°C
28%
22°C
31%
23°C
32%
24°C
27%
25°C
28%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
20°C 40%
23°C 32%
22°C 31%
21°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
18°C or below
$230 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$119 Vol.
1%
20°C
$105 Vol.
40%
21°C
$6 Vol.
28%
22°C
$0 Vol.
31%
23°C
$0 Vol.
32%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$40 Vol.
28%
26°C
$492 Vol.
1%
27°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$315 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) and international sources like the Met Office and TimeandDate indicate a minimum temperature for Tel Aviv on August 25, 2026, likely in the 21–26°C range, with IMS projecting a low near 21°C under high-pressure conditions and clear to partly cloudy skies.** This tight clustering of outcomes around 21–25°C reflects genuine uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling rates. Key differentiating factors include local sea surface temperatures in the Mediterranean, which limit cooling through thermal inertia and marine air advection, alongside variables such as humidity, wind speed from prevailing westerlies, and any thin cloud cover that could trap heat. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight lows near 22–24°C, but short-term model runs can shift the precise minimum by 1–3°C depending on boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any breeze onset. Traders appear to weigh these meteorological variables heavily as resolution approaches, with updated IMS briefings and observational data from Ben Gurion Airport likely to refine probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,423End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) and international sources like the Met Office and TimeandDate indicate a minimum temperature for Tel Aviv on August 25, 2026, likely in the 21–26°C range, with IMS projecting a low near 21°C under high-pressure conditions and clear to partly cloudy skies.** This tight clustering of outcomes around 21–25°C reflects genuine uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling rates. Key differentiating factors include local sea surface temperatures in the Mediterranean, which limit cooling through thermal inertia and marine air advection, alongside variables such as humidity, wind speed from prevailing westerlies, and any thin cloud cover that could trap heat. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight lows near 22–24°C, but short-term model runs can shift the precise minimum by 1–3°C depending on boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any breeze onset. Traders appear to weigh these meteorological variables heavily as resolution approaches, with updated IMS briefings and observational data from Ben Gurion Airport likely to refine probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,423End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) and international sources like the Met Office and TimeandDate indicate a minimum temperature for Tel Aviv on August 25, 2026, likely in the 21–26°C range, with IMS projecting a low near 21°C under high-pressure conditions and clear to partly cloudy skies.** This tight clustering of outcomes around 21–25°C reflects genuine uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling rates. Key differentiating factors include local sea surface temperatures in the Mediterranean, which limit cooling through thermal inertia and marine air advection, alongside variables such as humidity, wind speed from prevailing westerlies, and any thin cloud cover that could trap heat. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight lows near 22–24°C, but short-term model runs can shift the precise minimum by 1–3°C depending on boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any breeze onset. Traders appear to weigh these meteorological variables heavily as resolution approaches, with updated IMS briefings and observational data from Ben Gurion Airport likely to refine probabilities further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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