Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and Chinese meteorological sites show Qingdao minimum temperatures for August 26 stabilizing near 26–27 °C under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds of 3–4 Beaufort and high humidity. This aligns with typical late-August coastal conditions influenced by the East Asian monsoon and warm Yellow Sea waters, where overnight radiative cooling is limited. Trader emphasis on the 22 °C or below outcome at 43% implied probability likely reflects awareness of ensemble model spread and potential for faster cooling if a transient northerly shift develops, while clustered probabilities around 24–26 °C capture the narrow range of official guidance. Updated model runs and any NMC or CMA briefings over the next 48 hours will be key resolution drivers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 26?
22°C or below 86%
29°C 48%
24°C 27%
25°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
86%
23°C
21%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
21%
28°C
2%
29°C
48%
30°C
13%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
22°C or below 86%
29°C 48%
24°C 27%
25°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
$30 Vol.
86%
23°C
$0 Vol.
21%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
21%
28°C
$5 Vol.
2%
29°C
$5 Vol.
48%
30°C
$5 Vol.
13%
31°C
$135 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$70 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and Chinese meteorological sites show Qingdao minimum temperatures for August 26 stabilizing near 26–27 °C under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds of 3–4 Beaufort and high humidity. This aligns with typical late-August coastal conditions influenced by the East Asian monsoon and warm Yellow Sea waters, where overnight radiative cooling is limited. Trader emphasis on the 22 °C or below outcome at 43% implied probability likely reflects awareness of ensemble model spread and potential for faster cooling if a transient northerly shift develops, while clustered probabilities around 24–26 °C capture the narrow range of official guidance. Updated model runs and any NMC or CMA briefings over the next 48 hours will be key resolution drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$250End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and Chinese meteorological sites show Qingdao minimum temperatures for August 26 stabilizing near 26–27 °C under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds of 3–4 Beaufort and high humidity. This aligns with typical late-August coastal conditions influenced by the East Asian monsoon and warm Yellow Sea waters, where overnight radiative cooling is limited. Trader emphasis on the 22 °C or below outcome at 43% implied probability likely reflects awareness of ensemble model spread and potential for faster cooling if a transient northerly shift develops, while clustered probabilities around 24–26 °C capture the narrow range of official guidance. Updated model runs and any NMC or CMA briefings over the next 48 hours will be key resolution drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$250End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and Chinese meteorological sites show Qingdao minimum temperatures for August 26 stabilizing near 26–27 °C under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds of 3–4 Beaufort and high humidity. This aligns with typical late-August coastal conditions influenced by the East Asian monsoon and warm Yellow Sea waters, where overnight radiative cooling is limited. Trader emphasis on the 22 °C or below outcome at 43% implied probability likely reflects awareness of ensemble model spread and potential for faster cooling if a transient northerly shift develops, while clustered probabilities around 24–26 °C capture the narrow range of official guidance. Updated model runs and any NMC or CMA briefings over the next 48 hours will be key resolution drivers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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