Trader consensus in this Panama City minimum temperature market centers on 26–27°C as the most likely overnight low for August 25, reflecting typical wet-season conditions where high humidity near 90% and scattered showers or cloud cover restrict radiative cooling. Recent forecasts from regional models and monitoring agencies show daytime highs around 31–32°C giving way to lows in the mid-20s, with light northwest winds offering limited mixing. Differentiation among the tightly bunched 25–27°C outcomes hinges on exact timing of any evening convection and cloud persistence, which can add or subtract 1–2°C from the minimum. Historical August averages near 24–25°C provide context, but current atmospheric moisture supports the higher market-implied range ahead of tomorrow’s data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on August 25?
21°C or below 44%
22°C 41%
31°C or higher 38%
26°C 38%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
21°C or below
44%
22°C
41%
23°C
21%
24°C
19%
25°C
20%
26°C
38%
27°C
37%
28°C
9%
29°C
14%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
38%
21°C or below 44%
22°C 41%
31°C or higher 38%
26°C 38%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
21°C or below
$145 Vol.
44%
22°C
$145 Vol.
41%
23°C
$21 Vol.
21%
24°C
$6 Vol.
19%
25°C
$5 Vol.
20%
26°C
$0 Vol.
38%
27°C
$0 Vol.
37%
28°C
$5 Vol.
9%
29°C
$150 Vol.
14%
30°C
$135 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$135 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in this Panama City minimum temperature market centers on 26–27°C as the most likely overnight low for August 25, reflecting typical wet-season conditions where high humidity near 90% and scattered showers or cloud cover restrict radiative cooling. Recent forecasts from regional models and monitoring agencies show daytime highs around 31–32°C giving way to lows in the mid-20s, with light northwest winds offering limited mixing. Differentiation among the tightly bunched 25–27°C outcomes hinges on exact timing of any evening convection and cloud persistence, which can add or subtract 1–2°C from the minimum. Historical August averages near 24–25°C provide context, but current atmospheric moisture supports the higher market-implied range ahead of tomorrow’s data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$747End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in this Panama City minimum temperature market centers on 26–27°C as the most likely overnight low for August 25, reflecting typical wet-season conditions where high humidity near 90% and scattered showers or cloud cover restrict radiative cooling. Recent forecasts from regional models and monitoring agencies show daytime highs around 31–32°C giving way to lows in the mid-20s, with light northwest winds offering limited mixing. Differentiation among the tightly bunched 25–27°C outcomes hinges on exact timing of any evening convection and cloud persistence, which can add or subtract 1–2°C from the minimum. Historical August averages near 24–25°C provide context, but current atmospheric moisture supports the higher market-implied range ahead of tomorrow’s data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$747End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in this Panama City minimum temperature market centers on 26–27°C as the most likely overnight low for August 25, reflecting typical wet-season conditions where high humidity near 90% and scattered showers or cloud cover restrict radiative cooling. Recent forecasts from regional models and monitoring agencies show daytime highs around 31–32°C giving way to lows in the mid-20s, with light northwest winds offering limited mixing. Differentiation among the tightly bunched 25–27°C outcomes hinges on exact timing of any evening convection and cloud persistence, which can add or subtract 1–2°C from the minimum. Historical August averages near 24–25°C provide context, but current atmospheric moisture supports the higher market-implied range ahead of tomorrow’s data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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