Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, with light variable winds and partly cloudy skies expected to limit radiative cooling overnight into August 26. This setup supports a daily minimum near 20–22°C in Milan, consistent with current dew points around 18–19°C and urban heat retention. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 18–20°C outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or localized wind could alter the low by 1–2°C, while the low probability of stronger cooling keeps colder buckets (14°C or below) from dominating despite residual uncertainty in short-range model runs. Updated guidance ahead of the 26th will likely refine these ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Milan on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Milan on August 26?
14°C or below 50%
15°C 48%
22°C 48%
19°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
14°C or below
50%
15°C
48%
16°C
25%
17°C
25%
18°C
27%
19°C
27%
20°C
26%
21°C
24%
22°C
48%
23°C
20%
24°C or higher
1%
14°C or below 50%
15°C 48%
22°C 48%
19°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
14°C or below
$145 Vol.
50%
15°C
$145 Vol.
48%
16°C
$0 Vol.
25%
17°C
$0 Vol.
25%
18°C
$0 Vol.
27%
19°C
$0 Vol.
27%
20°C
$0 Vol.
26%
21°C
$57 Vol.
24%
22°C
$20 Vol.
48%
23°C
$145 Vol.
20%
24°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, with light variable winds and partly cloudy skies expected to limit radiative cooling overnight into August 26. This setup supports a daily minimum near 20–22°C in Milan, consistent with current dew points around 18–19°C and urban heat retention. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 18–20°C outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or localized wind could alter the low by 1–2°C, while the low probability of stronger cooling keeps colder buckets (14°C or below) from dominating despite residual uncertainty in short-range model runs. Updated guidance ahead of the 26th will likely refine these ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$512End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, with light variable winds and partly cloudy skies expected to limit radiative cooling overnight into August 26. This setup supports a daily minimum near 20–22°C in Milan, consistent with current dew points around 18–19°C and urban heat retention. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 18–20°C outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or localized wind could alter the low by 1–2°C, while the low probability of stronger cooling keeps colder buckets (14°C or below) from dominating despite residual uncertainty in short-range model runs. Updated guidance ahead of the 26th will likely refine these ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$512End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, with light variable winds and partly cloudy skies expected to limit radiative cooling overnight into August 26. This setup supports a daily minimum near 20–22°C in Milan, consistent with current dew points around 18–19°C and urban heat retention. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 18–20°C outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or localized wind could alter the low by 1–2°C, while the low probability of stronger cooling keeps colder buckets (14°C or below) from dominating despite residual uncertainty in short-range model runs. Updated guidance ahead of the 26th will likely refine these ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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