Current forecasts for Istanbul on August 25 indicate clear skies, moderate northeasterly winds, and high pressure supporting overnight radiative cooling, with model consensus pointing to a minimum near 22–23°C. Slight divergences among ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs—driven by variations in boundary-layer humidity, wind speed, and urban heat effects—create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 21–24°C. Stable summer conditions without incoming fronts or significant moisture limit the chance of warmer or markedly cooler outcomes, leaving traders focused on precise nocturnal temperature thresholds from official monitoring updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Istanbul on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 25?
19°C 49%
22°C 31%
24°C 31%
21°C 31%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
18°C or below
11%
19°C
49%
20°C
<1%
21°C
31%
22°C
31%
23°C
31%
24°C
31%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
19°C 49%
22°C 31%
24°C 31%
21°C 31%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
18°C or below
$100 Vol.
11%
19°C
$137 Vol.
49%
20°C
$88 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$10 Vol.
31%
22°C
$0 Vol.
31%
23°C
$0 Vol.
31%
24°C
$0 Vol.
31%
25°C
$225 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$501 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$303 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$239 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Istanbul on August 25 indicate clear skies, moderate northeasterly winds, and high pressure supporting overnight radiative cooling, with model consensus pointing to a minimum near 22–23°C. Slight divergences among ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs—driven by variations in boundary-layer humidity, wind speed, and urban heat effects—create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 21–24°C. Stable summer conditions without incoming fronts or significant moisture limit the chance of warmer or markedly cooler outcomes, leaving traders focused on precise nocturnal temperature thresholds from official monitoring updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,604End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Istanbul on August 25 indicate clear skies, moderate northeasterly winds, and high pressure supporting overnight radiative cooling, with model consensus pointing to a minimum near 22–23°C. Slight divergences among ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs—driven by variations in boundary-layer humidity, wind speed, and urban heat effects—create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 21–24°C. Stable summer conditions without incoming fronts or significant moisture limit the chance of warmer or markedly cooler outcomes, leaving traders focused on precise nocturnal temperature thresholds from official monitoring updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,604End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Istanbul on August 25 indicate clear skies, moderate northeasterly winds, and high pressure supporting overnight radiative cooling, with model consensus pointing to a minimum near 22–23°C. Slight divergences among ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs—driven by variations in boundary-layer humidity, wind speed, and urban heat effects—create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 21–24°C. Stable summer conditions without incoming fronts or significant moisture limit the chance of warmer or markedly cooler outcomes, leaving traders focused on precise nocturnal temperature thresholds from official monitoring updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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