**Trader consensus heavily favors a 23°C low for Istanbul on August 24, 2026 (67.5% implied probability), reflecting observed minimums near Atatürk Airport and consistent meteorological reporting.** Clear skies, moderate northeast winds (10–20 km/h), and typical late-summer humidity levels supported radiative cooling after daytime highs of 31–33°C, producing overnight lows clustered around 22–23°C. Official station data and model consensus showed no significant cold advection or cloud cover that would drive deeper cooling, while urban heat island effects and dew points near 21°C limited further drops. Secondary probabilities for 19–22°C capture minor station variations or measurement timing, but recent observations and the absence of atypical synoptic patterns keep the 23°C outcome dominant.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Istanbul on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 24?
20°C 35%
18°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$2,521 Vol.
$2,521 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
-
20°C
35%
21°C
-
22°C
-
23°C
-
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
20°C 35%
18°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$2,521 Vol.
$2,521 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
$178 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$130 Vol.
-
20°C
$98 Vol.
35%
21°C
$82 Vol.
-
22°C
$81 Vol.
-
23°C
$369 Vol.
-
24°C
$533 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$195 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$195 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$308 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$353 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 23°C low for Istanbul on August 24, 2026 (67.5% implied probability), reflecting observed minimums near Atatürk Airport and consistent meteorological reporting.** Clear skies, moderate northeast winds (10–20 km/h), and typical late-summer humidity levels supported radiative cooling after daytime highs of 31–33°C, producing overnight lows clustered around 22–23°C. Official station data and model consensus showed no significant cold advection or cloud cover that would drive deeper cooling, while urban heat island effects and dew points near 21°C limited further drops. Secondary probabilities for 19–22°C capture minor station variations or measurement timing, but recent observations and the absence of atypical synoptic patterns keep the 23°C outcome dominant.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,521End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 23°C low for Istanbul on August 24, 2026 (67.5% implied probability), reflecting observed minimums near Atatürk Airport and consistent meteorological reporting.** Clear skies, moderate northeast winds (10–20 km/h), and typical late-summer humidity levels supported radiative cooling after daytime highs of 31–33°C, producing overnight lows clustered around 22–23°C. Official station data and model consensus showed no significant cold advection or cloud cover that would drive deeper cooling, while urban heat island effects and dew points near 21°C limited further drops. Secondary probabilities for 19–22°C capture minor station variations or measurement timing, but recent observations and the absence of atypical synoptic patterns keep the 23°C outcome dominant.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,521End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 23°C low for Istanbul on August 24, 2026 (67.5% implied probability), reflecting observed minimums near Atatürk Airport and consistent meteorological reporting.** Clear skies, moderate northeast winds (10–20 km/h), and typical late-summer humidity levels supported radiative cooling after daytime highs of 31–33°C, producing overnight lows clustered around 22–23°C. Official station data and model consensus showed no significant cold advection or cloud cover that would drive deeper cooling, while urban heat island effects and dew points near 21°C limited further drops. Secondary probabilities for 19–22°C capture minor station variations or measurement timing, but recent observations and the absence of atypical synoptic patterns keep the 23°C outcome dominant.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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