Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Denver on August 25 point to overnight lows of 55–62°F under partly cloudy skies with a slight storm chance, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 60–65°F. Diurnal radiative cooling under variable high clouds, light northerly winds, and dew points near 50°F create the main spread, as clearer periods could allow deeper drops into the upper 50s while lingering moisture or mixing limits cooling. Late-August climatology shows typical lows near 57°F, but short-term model runs still diverge on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing ahead of tomorrow’s 6–8 pm minimum window. Traders are weighting the latest forecast updates heavily given rapid evolution in convective activity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Denver on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Denver on August 25?
72°F or higher 70%
53°F or below 69%
64-65°F 36%
60-61°F 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
53°F or below
69%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
4%
58-59°F
26%
60-61°F
28%
62-63°F
26%
64-65°F
36%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
17%
70-71°F
2%
72°F or higher
70%
72°F or higher 70%
53°F or below 69%
64-65°F 36%
60-61°F 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
53°F or below
$150 Vol.
69%
54-55°F
$15 Vol.
1%
56-57°F
$53 Vol.
4%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
26%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
28%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
26%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
36%
66-67°F
$10 Vol.
25%
68-69°F
$155 Vol.
17%
70-71°F
$10 Vol.
2%
72°F or higher
$5 Vol.
70%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Denver on August 25 point to overnight lows of 55–62°F under partly cloudy skies with a slight storm chance, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 60–65°F. Diurnal radiative cooling under variable high clouds, light northerly winds, and dew points near 50°F create the main spread, as clearer periods could allow deeper drops into the upper 50s while lingering moisture or mixing limits cooling. Late-August climatology shows typical lows near 57°F, but short-term model runs still diverge on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing ahead of tomorrow’s 6–8 pm minimum window. Traders are weighting the latest forecast updates heavily given rapid evolution in convective activity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$398End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Denver on August 25 point to overnight lows of 55–62°F under partly cloudy skies with a slight storm chance, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 60–65°F. Diurnal radiative cooling under variable high clouds, light northerly winds, and dew points near 50°F create the main spread, as clearer periods could allow deeper drops into the upper 50s while lingering moisture or mixing limits cooling. Late-August climatology shows typical lows near 57°F, but short-term model runs still diverge on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing ahead of tomorrow’s 6–8 pm minimum window. Traders are weighting the latest forecast updates heavily given rapid evolution in convective activity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$398End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Denver on August 25 point to overnight lows of 55–62°F under partly cloudy skies with a slight storm chance, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 60–65°F. Diurnal radiative cooling under variable high clouds, light northerly winds, and dew points near 50°F create the main spread, as clearer periods could allow deeper drops into the upper 50s while lingering moisture or mixing limits cooling. Late-August climatology shows typical lows near 57°F, but short-term model runs still diverge on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing ahead of tomorrow’s 6–8 pm minimum window. Traders are weighting the latest forecast updates heavily given rapid evolution in convective activity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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