Official National Weather Service observations recorded a minimum temperature of 62°F in Denver overnight into August 24, 2026, aligning precisely with the 62-63°F bin that holds 98% market-implied probability. This outcome reflects above-normal overnight conditions amid a warm late-summer pattern, with highs reaching 91°F under partly cloudy skies that limited radiative cooling compared to the 57°F climatological average. National Weather Service station data from the Denver area provide the authoritative measurement for resolution. Only an unexpected data revision or station discrepancy could realistically alter the result, both considered remote given multiple confirming reports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Denver on August 24?
62-63°F 98%
58-59°F 26%
60-61°F 2%
55°F or below <1%
$2,981 Vol.
$2,981 Vol.
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
26%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
98%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
<1%
62-63°F 98%
58-59°F 26%
60-61°F 2%
55°F or below <1%
$2,981 Vol.
$2,981 Vol.
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
26%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
98%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service observations recorded a minimum temperature of 62°F in Denver overnight into August 24, 2026, aligning precisely with the 62-63°F bin that holds 98% market-implied probability. This outcome reflects above-normal overnight conditions amid a warm late-summer pattern, with highs reaching 91°F under partly cloudy skies that limited radiative cooling compared to the 57°F climatological average. National Weather Service station data from the Denver area provide the authoritative measurement for resolution. Only an unexpected data revision or station discrepancy could realistically alter the result, both considered remote given multiple confirming reports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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