Trader sentiment for the lowest Denver temperature on August 25 centers on the 64-65°F bin because National Weather Service and private model guidance project an overnight low near 61°F under partly cloudy skies, with afternoon thunderstorm chances of 20-40% that could limit radiative cooling. Dew points near 50°F, light variable winds, and Front Range elevation effects support minimums in the low-to-mid 60s rather than deeper cooling. Recent nights have run several degrees above the 1991-2020 August 25 average low of 56.5°F, while model spread and storm timing introduce the observed clustering around 60-66°F outcomes and the secondary weight on sub-54°F or 72°F+ extremes. Updated evening model runs and NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Denver on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Denver on August 25?
53°F or below 61%
72°F or higher 60%
64-65°F 39%
58-59°F 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
53°F or below
61%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
3%
58-59°F
26%
60-61°F
26%
62-63°F
25%
64-65°F
39%
66-67°F
24%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
2%
72°F or higher
60%
53°F or below 61%
72°F or higher 60%
64-65°F 39%
58-59°F 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
53°F or below
$150 Vol.
61%
54-55°F
$15 Vol.
1%
56-57°F
$53 Vol.
3%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
26%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
26%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
25%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
39%
66-67°F
$10 Vol.
24%
68-69°F
$155 Vol.
14%
70-71°F
$10 Vol.
2%
72°F or higher
$5 Vol.
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for the lowest Denver temperature on August 25 centers on the 64-65°F bin because National Weather Service and private model guidance project an overnight low near 61°F under partly cloudy skies, with afternoon thunderstorm chances of 20-40% that could limit radiative cooling. Dew points near 50°F, light variable winds, and Front Range elevation effects support minimums in the low-to-mid 60s rather than deeper cooling. Recent nights have run several degrees above the 1991-2020 August 25 average low of 56.5°F, while model spread and storm timing introduce the observed clustering around 60-66°F outcomes and the secondary weight on sub-54°F or 72°F+ extremes. Updated evening model runs and NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$398End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for the lowest Denver temperature on August 25 centers on the 64-65°F bin because National Weather Service and private model guidance project an overnight low near 61°F under partly cloudy skies, with afternoon thunderstorm chances of 20-40% that could limit radiative cooling. Dew points near 50°F, light variable winds, and Front Range elevation effects support minimums in the low-to-mid 60s rather than deeper cooling. Recent nights have run several degrees above the 1991-2020 August 25 average low of 56.5°F, while model spread and storm timing introduce the observed clustering around 60-66°F outcomes and the secondary weight on sub-54°F or 72°F+ extremes. Updated evening model runs and NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$398End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the lowest Denver temperature on August 25 centers on the 64-65°F bin because National Weather Service and private model guidance project an overnight low near 61°F under partly cloudy skies, with afternoon thunderstorm chances of 20-40% that could limit radiative cooling. Dew points near 50°F, light variable winds, and Front Range elevation effects support minimums in the low-to-mid 60s rather than deeper cooling. Recent nights have run several degrees above the 1991-2020 August 25 average low of 56.5°F, while model spread and storm timing introduce the observed clustering around 60-66°F outcomes and the secondary weight on sub-54°F or 72°F+ extremes. Updated evening model runs and NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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