Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office, GFS-based models, and European ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on August 26 most likely between 15–17°C, driven by easterly advection of milder continental air and increasing cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Overnight lows are projected near 16°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and a chance of showers, warmer than the late-August climatological average of about 13°C. Model consensus supports this range, though slight variations in cloud timing or precipitation could shift the low by 1–2°C. Updated runs from major agencies in the next 48 hours will further refine trader-implied probabilities centered on 15–17°C outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 26?
16°C 45%
15°C 31%
17°C 24%
14°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
12°C or below
14%
13°C
8%
14°C
27%
15°C
31%
16°C
45%
17°C
24%
18°C
9%
19°C
8%
20°C
7%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
3%
16°C 45%
15°C 31%
17°C 24%
14°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
12°C or below
$145 Vol.
14%
13°C
$90 Vol.
8%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
31%
16°C
$0 Vol.
45%
17°C
$0 Vol.
24%
18°C
$0 Vol.
9%
19°C
$80 Vol.
8%
20°C
$135 Vol.
7%
21°C
$0 Vol.
1%
22°C or higher
$5 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office, GFS-based models, and European ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on August 26 most likely between 15–17°C, driven by easterly advection of milder continental air and increasing cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Overnight lows are projected near 16°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and a chance of showers, warmer than the late-August climatological average of about 13°C. Model consensus supports this range, though slight variations in cloud timing or precipitation could shift the low by 1–2°C. Updated runs from major agencies in the next 48 hours will further refine trader-implied probabilities centered on 15–17°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$455End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office, GFS-based models, and European ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on August 26 most likely between 15–17°C, driven by easterly advection of milder continental air and increasing cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Overnight lows are projected near 16°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and a chance of showers, warmer than the late-August climatological average of about 13°C. Model consensus supports this range, though slight variations in cloud timing or precipitation could shift the low by 1–2°C. Updated runs from major agencies in the next 48 hours will further refine trader-implied probabilities centered on 15–17°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$455End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office, GFS-based models, and European ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on August 26 most likely between 15–17°C, driven by easterly advection of milder continental air and increasing cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Overnight lows are projected near 16°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and a chance of showers, warmer than the late-August climatological average of about 13°C. Model consensus supports this range, though slight variations in cloud timing or precipitation could shift the low by 1–2°C. Updated runs from major agencies in the next 48 hours will further refine trader-implied probabilities centered on 15–17°C outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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