Strong forecast consensus from major meteorological agencies projects daily highs of 33–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 25, well above the 32°C threshold, amid persistent late-summer subtropical conditions and high humidity. Multiple models align on hot, mostly cloudy to thundery weather with limited cooling from scattered showers, consistent with regional climatology where August averages reach 31–33°C and recent observations show sustained warmth. Trader positioning at 97% for 32°C or higher reflects this model agreement and the low likelihood of rapid atmospheric shifts. A strong cold front or unexpectedly heavy, prolonged rainfall could suppress the maximum, though such developments remain outside current guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25?
32°C or higher 97%
31°C 3%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
NEW
$11,108 Vol.
NEW
$11,108 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
97%
32°C or higher 97%
31°C 3%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
NEW
$11,108 Vol.
NEW
$11,108 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
$3,312 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,189 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,285 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$393 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,068 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$630 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$377 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$21 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$221 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$395 Vol.
3%
32°C or higher
$218 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong forecast consensus from major meteorological agencies projects daily highs of 33–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 25, well above the 32°C threshold, amid persistent late-summer subtropical conditions and high humidity. Multiple models align on hot, mostly cloudy to thundery weather with limited cooling from scattered showers, consistent with regional climatology where August averages reach 31–33°C and recent observations show sustained warmth. Trader positioning at 97% for 32°C or higher reflects this model agreement and the low likelihood of rapid atmospheric shifts. A strong cold front or unexpectedly heavy, prolonged rainfall could suppress the maximum, though such developments remain outside current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$11,108End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong forecast consensus from major meteorological agencies projects daily highs of 33–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 25, well above the 32°C threshold, amid persistent late-summer subtropical conditions and high humidity. Multiple models align on hot, mostly cloudy to thundery weather with limited cooling from scattered showers, consistent with regional climatology where August averages reach 31–33°C and recent observations show sustained warmth. Trader positioning at 97% for 32°C or higher reflects this model agreement and the low likelihood of rapid atmospheric shifts. A strong cold front or unexpectedly heavy, prolonged rainfall could suppress the maximum, though such developments remain outside current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,108End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong forecast consensus from major meteorological agencies projects daily highs of 33–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 25, well above the 32°C threshold, amid persistent late-summer subtropical conditions and high humidity. Multiple models align on hot, mostly cloudy to thundery weather with limited cooling from scattered showers, consistent with regional climatology where August averages reach 31–33°C and recent observations show sustained warmth. Trader positioning at 97% for 32°C or higher reflects this model agreement and the low likelihood of rapid atmospheric shifts. A strong cold front or unexpectedly heavy, prolonged rainfall could suppress the maximum, though such developments remain outside current guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions