Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological agencies and international models indicate Moscow's August 26 high will likely reach 16–17°C amid northwest winds and a cold Scandinavian anticyclone suppressing warmer advection. Cloud cover, scattered showers, and dew points near 11°C are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping readings 1–2°C below late-August climatological norms around 18–20°C. Model consensus across sources shows modest afternoon peaks near 17°C with brief clearing possible, supporting the market's heaviest positioning on 17°C (43.5%) and 16°C (29%). Updated runs through August 25 reinforce this cool, unstable pattern without signals of stronger southerly flow that could push toward 18°C or higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 26?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 26?
17°C 45%
16°C 29%
18°C 14%
15°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
11%
16°C
29%
17°C
45%
18°C
14%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
17°C 45%
16°C 29%
18°C 14%
15°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
11°C or below
$224 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$92 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$198 Vol.
1%
14°C
$303 Vol.
4%
15°C
$301 Vol.
11%
16°C
$78 Vol.
29%
17°C
$560 Vol.
45%
18°C
$130 Vol.
14%
19°C
$49 Vol.
4%
20°C
$266 Vol.
1%
21°C or higher
$23 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological agencies and international models indicate Moscow's August 26 high will likely reach 16–17°C amid northwest winds and a cold Scandinavian anticyclone suppressing warmer advection. Cloud cover, scattered showers, and dew points near 11°C are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping readings 1–2°C below late-August climatological norms around 18–20°C. Model consensus across sources shows modest afternoon peaks near 17°C with brief clearing possible, supporting the market's heaviest positioning on 17°C (43.5%) and 16°C (29%). Updated runs through August 25 reinforce this cool, unstable pattern without signals of stronger southerly flow that could push toward 18°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$2,225End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological agencies and international models indicate Moscow's August 26 high will likely reach 16–17°C amid northwest winds and a cold Scandinavian anticyclone suppressing warmer advection. Cloud cover, scattered showers, and dew points near 11°C are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping readings 1–2°C below late-August climatological norms around 18–20°C. Model consensus across sources shows modest afternoon peaks near 17°C with brief clearing possible, supporting the market's heaviest positioning on 17°C (43.5%) and 16°C (29%). Updated runs through August 25 reinforce this cool, unstable pattern without signals of stronger southerly flow that could push toward 18°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,225End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological agencies and international models indicate Moscow's August 26 high will likely reach 16–17°C amid northwest winds and a cold Scandinavian anticyclone suppressing warmer advection. Cloud cover, scattered showers, and dew points near 11°C are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping readings 1–2°C below late-August climatological norms around 18–20°C. Model consensus across sources shows modest afternoon peaks near 17°C with brief clearing possible, supporting the market's heaviest positioning on 17°C (43.5%) and 16°C (29%). Updated runs through August 25 reinforce this cool, unstable pattern without signals of stronger southerly flow that could push toward 18°C or higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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