Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological sources, including Meteonosti and синоптик Alexander Ilyin, indicate a highest temperature in Moscow on August 25 of 16–19°C under mostly cloudy skies with periods of light rain and westerly winds of 4–9 m/s. These conditions suppress daytime heating by limiting solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling, keeping values 1–2°C below the late-August climatic norm. Model consensus from GFS data and local agencies points to a narrow range centered near 17°C as the most probable maximum, aligning with the market's strong implied probability on that outcome. Updated runs tomorrow morning from Roshydromet will refine exact peak readings ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 25?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 25?
17°C 54%
16°C 25%
18°C 21%
15°C 4%
NEW
$10,580 Vol.
NEW
$10,580 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
25%
17°C
54%
18°C
21%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
17°C 54%
16°C 25%
18°C 21%
15°C 4%
NEW
$10,580 Vol.
NEW
$10,580 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
13°C or below
$493 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$399 Vol.
1%
15°C
$1,181 Vol.
4%
16°C
$949 Vol.
25%
17°C
$1,194 Vol.
54%
18°C
$2,479 Vol.
21%
19°C
$937 Vol.
2%
20°C
$611 Vol.
1%
21°C
$670 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$638 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$1,028 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological sources, including Meteonosti and синоптик Alexander Ilyin, indicate a highest temperature in Moscow on August 25 of 16–19°C under mostly cloudy skies with periods of light rain and westerly winds of 4–9 m/s. These conditions suppress daytime heating by limiting solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling, keeping values 1–2°C below the late-August climatic norm. Model consensus from GFS data and local agencies points to a narrow range centered near 17°C as the most probable maximum, aligning with the market's strong implied probability on that outcome. Updated runs tomorrow morning from Roshydromet will refine exact peak readings ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$10,580End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological sources, including Meteonosti and синоптик Alexander Ilyin, indicate a highest temperature in Moscow on August 25 of 16–19°C under mostly cloudy skies with periods of light rain and westerly winds of 4–9 m/s. These conditions suppress daytime heating by limiting solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling, keeping values 1–2°C below the late-August climatic norm. Model consensus from GFS data and local agencies points to a narrow range centered near 17°C as the most probable maximum, aligning with the market's strong implied probability on that outcome. Updated runs tomorrow morning from Roshydromet will refine exact peak readings ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,580End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological sources, including Meteonosti and синоптик Alexander Ilyin, indicate a highest temperature in Moscow on August 25 of 16–19°C under mostly cloudy skies with periods of light rain and westerly winds of 4–9 m/s. These conditions suppress daytime heating by limiting solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling, keeping values 1–2°C below the late-August climatic norm. Model consensus from GFS data and local agencies points to a narrow range centered near 17°C as the most probable maximum, aligning with the market's strong implied probability on that outcome. Updated runs tomorrow morning from Roshydromet will refine exact peak readings ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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