Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance position mostly sunny conditions with a high near 98°F for Houston on August 25, driven by persistent mid-level ridging that has sustained triple-digit heat indices and limited cloud cover or moisture. Southwest flow and mixing of drier air aloft support peak readings in the upper 90s to low 100s, consistent with recent observed highs of 99–101°F and climatological August extremes above 100°F. Low precipitation chances (under 10%) and ongoing Heat Advisory reinforce the outlook, though afternoon model updates or minor steering changes could shift the precise maximum within the 96–99°F range that currently dominates trader-implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on August 25?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 25?
98-99°F 54%
96-97°F 37%
100-101°F 8%
94-95°F 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
37%
98-99°F
54%
100-101°F
8%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 54%
96-97°F 37%
100-101°F 8%
94-95°F 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
89°F or below
$679 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$239 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$229 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$334 Vol.
3%
96-97°F
$1,035 Vol.
37%
98-99°F
$899 Vol.
54%
100-101°F
$325 Vol.
8%
102-103°F
$251 Vol.
1%
104-105°F
$281 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$327 Vol.
<1%
108°F or higher
$309 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance position mostly sunny conditions with a high near 98°F for Houston on August 25, driven by persistent mid-level ridging that has sustained triple-digit heat indices and limited cloud cover or moisture. Southwest flow and mixing of drier air aloft support peak readings in the upper 90s to low 100s, consistent with recent observed highs of 99–101°F and climatological August extremes above 100°F. Low precipitation chances (under 10%) and ongoing Heat Advisory reinforce the outlook, though afternoon model updates or minor steering changes could shift the precise maximum within the 96–99°F range that currently dominates trader-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$4,907End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance position mostly sunny conditions with a high near 98°F for Houston on August 25, driven by persistent mid-level ridging that has sustained triple-digit heat indices and limited cloud cover or moisture. Southwest flow and mixing of drier air aloft support peak readings in the upper 90s to low 100s, consistent with recent observed highs of 99–101°F and climatological August extremes above 100°F. Low precipitation chances (under 10%) and ongoing Heat Advisory reinforce the outlook, though afternoon model updates or minor steering changes could shift the precise maximum within the 96–99°F range that currently dominates trader-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,907End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance position mostly sunny conditions with a high near 98°F for Houston on August 25, driven by persistent mid-level ridging that has sustained triple-digit heat indices and limited cloud cover or moisture. Southwest flow and mixing of drier air aloft support peak readings in the upper 90s to low 100s, consistent with recent observed highs of 99–101°F and climatological August extremes above 100°F. Low precipitation chances (under 10%) and ongoing Heat Advisory reinforce the outlook, though afternoon model updates or minor steering changes could shift the precise maximum within the 96–99°F range that currently dominates trader-implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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