Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature of 14–15°C in Buenos Aires on August 25, driven by persistent northeasterly winds advecting cooler maritime air under a stable high-pressure system following an earlier polar outbreak. Partly cloudy skies and light winds are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping values below the long-term August average high near 16–18°C. Official guidance from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles shows tight consensus around these thresholds with minimal precipitation risk, aligning with trader emphasis on the 14°C and 15°C outcomes as the resolution appears imminent.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 25?
15°C 50%
14°C 36%
16°C 12%
13°C 5%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
5%
14°C
36%
15°C
50%
16°C
12%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 50%
14°C 36%
16°C 12%
13°C 5%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
5%
14°C
36%
15°C
50%
16°C
12%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature of 14–15°C in Buenos Aires on August 25, driven by persistent northeasterly winds advecting cooler maritime air under a stable high-pressure system following an earlier polar outbreak. Partly cloudy skies and light winds are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping values below the long-term August average high near 16–18°C. Official guidance from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles shows tight consensus around these thresholds with minimal precipitation risk, aligning with trader emphasis on the 14°C and 15°C outcomes as the resolution appears imminent.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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