**Trader sentiment for Cape Town's August 25 maximum temperature centers on forecasts indicating a mild winter day with highs likely between 18–22°C.** Official guidance from the South African Weather Service points to a daytime maximum near 18°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds, consistent with climatological averages for late August when highs typically range 17–20°C. Recent model runs and observational trends, however, have shifted implied probabilities toward 21°C (40%) and 22°C (30%), as traders weigh potential for brief warming from reduced cloud cover or northerly flow ahead of any frontal passage. Lower outcomes like 20°C (15.5%) and 19°C (6%) remain viable if marine layer or stronger onshore winds dominate, while probabilities drop sharply above 23°C or below 18°C given the narrow historical range and current steering patterns. With resolution based on official daily maximum readings, any late-day model update or localized temperature spike could quickly reprice the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 25?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 25?
21°C 41%
22°C 33%
20°C 16%
23°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
6%
20°C
16%
21°C
41%
22°C
33%
23°C
11%
24°C
3%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 41%
22°C 33%
20°C 16%
23°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
15°C or below
$149 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$417 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$257 Vol.
1%
18°C
$279 Vol.
1%
19°C
$617 Vol.
6%
20°C
$985 Vol.
16%
21°C
$664 Vol.
41%
22°C
$634 Vol.
33%
23°C
$581 Vol.
11%
24°C
$306 Vol.
3%
25°C or higher
$102 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Cape Town's August 25 maximum temperature centers on forecasts indicating a mild winter day with highs likely between 18–22°C.** Official guidance from the South African Weather Service points to a daytime maximum near 18°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds, consistent with climatological averages for late August when highs typically range 17–20°C. Recent model runs and observational trends, however, have shifted implied probabilities toward 21°C (40%) and 22°C (30%), as traders weigh potential for brief warming from reduced cloud cover or northerly flow ahead of any frontal passage.
Lower outcomes like 20°C (15.5%) and 19°C (6%) remain viable if marine layer or stronger onshore winds dominate, while probabilities drop sharply above 23°C or below 18°C given the narrow historical range and current steering patterns. With resolution based on official daily maximum readings, any late-day model update or localized temperature spike could quickly reprice the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$4,992End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Cape Town's August 25 maximum temperature centers on forecasts indicating a mild winter day with highs likely between 18–22°C.** Official guidance from the South African Weather Service points to a daytime maximum near 18°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds, consistent with climatological averages for late August when highs typically range 17–20°C. Recent model runs and observational trends, however, have shifted implied probabilities toward 21°C (40%) and 22°C (30%), as traders weigh potential for brief warming from reduced cloud cover or northerly flow ahead of any frontal passage.
Lower outcomes like 20°C (15.5%) and 19°C (6%) remain viable if marine layer or stronger onshore winds dominate, while probabilities drop sharply above 23°C or below 18°C given the narrow historical range and current steering patterns. With resolution based on official daily maximum readings, any late-day model update or localized temperature spike could quickly reprice the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,992End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Cape Town's August 25 maximum temperature centers on forecasts indicating a mild winter day with highs likely between 18–22°C.** Official guidance from the South African Weather Service points to a daytime maximum near 18°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds, consistent with climatological averages for late August when highs typically range 17–20°C. Recent model runs and observational trends, however, have shifted implied probabilities toward 21°C (40%) and 22°C (30%), as traders weigh potential for brief warming from reduced cloud cover or northerly flow ahead of any frontal passage. Lower outcomes like 20°C (15.5%) and 19°C (6%) remain viable if marine layer or stronger onshore winds dominate, while probabilities drop sharply above 23°C or below 18°C given the narrow historical range and current steering patterns. With resolution based on official daily maximum readings, any late-day model update or localized temperature spike could quickly reprice the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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