Cape Town recorded a daily maximum temperature of 18.2°C on August 24, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 18°C outcome at 99.9% implied probability. This reflects typical late-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, with clear skies, moderate southerly winds, and limited diurnal warming from the Benguela Current moderating coastal temperatures near historical averages of 16–18°C. Official station data from Cape Town International Airport and surrounding sites showed afternoon peaks in the 17–19°C range under stable high pressure, with no significant advection of warmer air masses. While minor discrepancies in station selection or rounding could theoretically alter resolution, the consensus across multiple verified observations leaves little room for deviation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 24?
18°C 99.9%
$32,273 Vol.
$32,273 Vol.
18°C
100%
18°C 99.9%
$32,273 Vol.
$32,273 Vol.
18°C
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cape Town recorded a daily maximum temperature of 18.2°C on August 24, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 18°C outcome at 99.9% implied probability. This reflects typical late-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, with clear skies, moderate southerly winds, and limited diurnal warming from the Benguela Current moderating coastal temperatures near historical averages of 16–18°C. Official station data from Cape Town International Airport and surrounding sites showed afternoon peaks in the 17–19°C range under stable high pressure, with no significant advection of warmer air masses. While minor discrepancies in station selection or rounding could theoretically alter resolution, the consensus across multiple verified observations leaves little room for deviation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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