Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a clear, calm night with light southerly winds, positioning the overnight low near 12–13°C through standard radiative cooling under dry winter conditions typical for Cape Town. The South Atlantic high-pressure system and moderating influence of the Benguela Current limit further drops, aligning with historical August minima around 10–12°C at the airport station. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 13°C and 12°C outcomes tracks these stable patterns, with lower-probability extremes requiring unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts. Final official minimum from South African Weather Service observations will resolve the market as temperatures bottom out before dawn.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Cape Town on August 24?
$2,278 Vol.
$2,278 Vol.
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
$2,278 Vol.
$2,278 Vol.
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a clear, calm night with light southerly winds, positioning the overnight low near 12–13°C through standard radiative cooling under dry winter conditions typical for Cape Town. The South Atlantic high-pressure system and moderating influence of the Benguela Current limit further drops, aligning with historical August minima around 10–12°C at the airport station. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 13°C and 12°C outcomes tracks these stable patterns, with lower-probability extremes requiring unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts. Final official minimum from South African Weather Service observations will resolve the market as temperatures bottom out before dawn.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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