Recent forecast guidance from European models and agencies such as the Met Office and KNMI indicates a mild late-August setup for Amsterdam, with daytime maxima most likely reaching 23–25 °C amid variable cloud cover and possible thundery showers. This aligns with climatological norms near 22 °C and the absence of strong southerly flow or subsidence that would support higher readings. Trader consensus, reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 24–26 °C, incorporates the latest model consensus and historical variability within the 18–26 °C envelope typical for the date. With resolution occurring tomorrow, further adjustments will hinge on the final observational data from KNMI stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 26?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 26?
25°C 37%
26°C 23%
24°C 21%
27°C 8%
NEW
$14,804 Vol.
NEW
$14,804 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
7%
24°C
21%
25°C
37%
26°C
23%
27°C
8%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 37%
26°C 23%
24°C 21%
27°C 8%
NEW
$14,804 Vol.
NEW
$14,804 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
20°C or below
$36 Vol.
1%
21°C
$10 Vol.
1%
22°C
$824 Vol.
3%
23°C
$1,977 Vol.
7%
24°C
$6,415 Vol.
21%
25°C
$1,246 Vol.
37%
26°C
$2,749 Vol.
23%
27°C
$672 Vol.
8%
28°C
$104 Vol.
3%
29°C
$388 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$383 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from European models and agencies such as the Met Office and KNMI indicates a mild late-August setup for Amsterdam, with daytime maxima most likely reaching 23–25 °C amid variable cloud cover and possible thundery showers. This aligns with climatological norms near 22 °C and the absence of strong southerly flow or subsidence that would support higher readings. Trader consensus, reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 24–26 °C, incorporates the latest model consensus and historical variability within the 18–26 °C envelope typical for the date. With resolution occurring tomorrow, further adjustments will hinge on the final observational data from KNMI stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$14,804End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from European models and agencies such as the Met Office and KNMI indicates a mild late-August setup for Amsterdam, with daytime maxima most likely reaching 23–25 °C amid variable cloud cover and possible thundery showers. This aligns with climatological norms near 22 °C and the absence of strong southerly flow or subsidence that would support higher readings. Trader consensus, reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 24–26 °C, incorporates the latest model consensus and historical variability within the 18–26 °C envelope typical for the date. With resolution occurring tomorrow, further adjustments will hinge on the final observational data from KNMI stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,804End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from European models and agencies such as the Met Office and KNMI indicates a mild late-August setup for Amsterdam, with daytime maxima most likely reaching 23–25 °C amid variable cloud cover and possible thundery showers. This aligns with climatological norms near 22 °C and the absence of strong southerly flow or subsidence that would support higher readings. Trader consensus, reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 24–26 °C, incorporates the latest model consensus and historical variability within the 18–26 °C envelope typical for the date. With resolution occurring tomorrow, further adjustments will hinge on the final observational data from KNMI stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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