**Forecast consensus from KNMI, ECMWF-influenced models, and GFS runs positions 25°C as the most probable daily maximum for Amsterdam on August 25, 2026.** Clear to mostly sunny skies, moderate easterly winds around 15–22 km/h, and low humidity support efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures. Current observations show readings climbing through the mid-20s by early afternoon, consistent with above-average conditions for late August (climatological high near 21.5°C). Model agreement remains tight on the peak, with only minor spread between 24–26°C; no rapid changes in steering patterns or frontal activity are expected before evening. Official station data from Schiphol will confirm the exact maximum by day’s end, aligning trader sentiment with the narrow range around 25°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 25?
25°C 61%
26°C 21%
24°C 20%
23°C 2%
$11,361 Vol.
$11,361 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
20%
25°C
61%
26°C
21%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 61%
26°C 21%
24°C 20%
23°C 2%
$11,361 Vol.
$11,361 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
20%
25°C
61%
26°C
21%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from KNMI, ECMWF-influenced models, and GFS runs positions 25°C as the most probable daily maximum for Amsterdam on August 25, 2026.** Clear to mostly sunny skies, moderate easterly winds around 15–22 km/h, and low humidity support efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures. Current observations show readings climbing through the mid-20s by early afternoon, consistent with above-average conditions for late August (climatological high near 21.5°C). Model agreement remains tight on the peak, with only minor spread between 24–26°C; no rapid changes in steering patterns or frontal activity are expected before evening. Official station data from Schiphol will confirm the exact maximum by day’s end, aligning trader sentiment with the narrow range around 25°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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