Current forecast guidance from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather points to overnight lows of 25–28°C in Wuhan on August 26, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 27°C (37.5%) and 28°C (30%). In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon regime during late summer, minimum temperatures hinge on the balance between daytime heat storage, radiative cooling under clear or partly cloudy skies, and boundary-layer mixing driven by light easterly winds. Elevated humidity and urban heat retention limit cooling, while any increase in cloud cover or wind could hold the low near 28°C; clearer conditions favor the 26°C or lower outcomes priced lower by traders. Updated model consensus and surface observations in the next 48 hours remain the key variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 26?
33°C or higher 58%
27°C 35%
28°C 28%
29°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
23°C or below
3%
24°C
15%
25°C
21%
26°C
24%
27°C
35%
28°C
28%
29°C
26%
30°C
22%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
58%
33°C or higher 58%
27°C 35%
28°C 28%
29°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
23°C or below
$15 Vol.
3%
24°C
$135 Vol.
15%
25°C
$0 Vol.
21%
26°C
$0 Vol.
24%
27°C
$4 Vol.
35%
28°C
$0 Vol.
28%
29°C
$0 Vol.
26%
30°C
$0 Vol.
22%
31°C
$0 Vol.
1%
32°C
$5 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$5 Vol.
58%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather points to overnight lows of 25–28°C in Wuhan on August 26, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 27°C (37.5%) and 28°C (30%). In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon regime during late summer, minimum temperatures hinge on the balance between daytime heat storage, radiative cooling under clear or partly cloudy skies, and boundary-layer mixing driven by light easterly winds. Elevated humidity and urban heat retention limit cooling, while any increase in cloud cover or wind could hold the low near 28°C; clearer conditions favor the 26°C or lower outcomes priced lower by traders. Updated model consensus and surface observations in the next 48 hours remain the key variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$164End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather points to overnight lows of 25–28°C in Wuhan on August 26, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 27°C (37.5%) and 28°C (30%). In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon regime during late summer, minimum temperatures hinge on the balance between daytime heat storage, radiative cooling under clear or partly cloudy skies, and boundary-layer mixing driven by light easterly winds. Elevated humidity and urban heat retention limit cooling, while any increase in cloud cover or wind could hold the low near 28°C; clearer conditions favor the 26°C or lower outcomes priced lower by traders. Updated model consensus and surface observations in the next 48 hours remain the key variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$164End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather points to overnight lows of 25–28°C in Wuhan on August 26, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 27°C (37.5%) and 28°C (30%). In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon regime during late summer, minimum temperatures hinge on the balance between daytime heat storage, radiative cooling under clear or partly cloudy skies, and boundary-layer mixing driven by light easterly winds. Elevated humidity and urban heat retention limit cooling, while any increase in cloud cover or wind could hold the low near 28°C; clearer conditions favor the 26°C or lower outcomes priced lower by traders. Updated model consensus and surface observations in the next 48 hours remain the key variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions