Persistent subtropical high pressure and clear to partly cloudy skies are sustaining elevated overnight temperatures across Wuhan, with official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and global models converging on a minimum near 28–29°C for August 26. High humidity limits radiative cooling while the urban heat island effect and light easterly winds further moderate temperature drops. Model consensus shows limited spread, yet slight variations in boundary-layer moisture and localized cloud cover create the close clustering around 27–28°C outcomes. Traders are assigning meaningful probability to a warmer minimum near or above 33°C given the ongoing heatwave and historical precedent for suppressed nocturnal cooling in late-summer conditions. Final station readings from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 26?
33°C or higher 73%
28°C 32%
27°C 30%
24°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
23°C or below
3%
24°C
28%
25°C
11%
26°C
22%
27°C
30%
28°C
32%
29°C
23%
30°C
25%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
73%
33°C or higher 73%
28°C 32%
27°C 30%
24°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
23°C or below
$15 Vol.
3%
24°C
$135 Vol.
28%
25°C
$0 Vol.
11%
26°C
$0 Vol.
22%
27°C
$4 Vol.
30%
28°C
$0 Vol.
32%
29°C
$0 Vol.
23%
30°C
$0 Vol.
25%
31°C
$0 Vol.
1%
32°C
$5 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$5 Vol.
73%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical high pressure and clear to partly cloudy skies are sustaining elevated overnight temperatures across Wuhan, with official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and global models converging on a minimum near 28–29°C for August 26. High humidity limits radiative cooling while the urban heat island effect and light easterly winds further moderate temperature drops. Model consensus shows limited spread, yet slight variations in boundary-layer moisture and localized cloud cover create the close clustering around 27–28°C outcomes. Traders are assigning meaningful probability to a warmer minimum near or above 33°C given the ongoing heatwave and historical precedent for suppressed nocturnal cooling in late-summer conditions. Final station readings from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$164End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical high pressure and clear to partly cloudy skies are sustaining elevated overnight temperatures across Wuhan, with official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and global models converging on a minimum near 28–29°C for August 26. High humidity limits radiative cooling while the urban heat island effect and light easterly winds further moderate temperature drops. Model consensus shows limited spread, yet slight variations in boundary-layer moisture and localized cloud cover create the close clustering around 27–28°C outcomes. Traders are assigning meaningful probability to a warmer minimum near or above 33°C given the ongoing heatwave and historical precedent for suppressed nocturnal cooling in late-summer conditions. Final station readings from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$164End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent subtropical high pressure and clear to partly cloudy skies are sustaining elevated overnight temperatures across Wuhan, with official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and global models converging on a minimum near 28–29°C for August 26. High humidity limits radiative cooling while the urban heat island effect and light easterly winds further moderate temperature drops. Model consensus shows limited spread, yet slight variations in boundary-layer moisture and localized cloud cover create the close clustering around 27–28°C outcomes. Traders are assigning meaningful probability to a warmer minimum near or above 33°C given the ongoing heatwave and historical precedent for suppressed nocturnal cooling in late-summer conditions. Final station readings from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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