**Persistent subtropical high pressure and clear, humid conditions are anchoring trader expectations for a 27°C low in Wuhan on August 25.** Multiple official and model forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources converge on overnight minima of 27–29°C, reflecting strong radiative cooling under mostly clear skies but limited by high dew points near 26–28°C that suppress further temperature drops. Recent heat warnings and stable model runs with minimal disagreement have reinforced the 27°C (62%) and 26°C (33%) outcomes as the clearest consensus, while probabilities for 25°C or lower remain low absent any incoming frontal system or increased cloud cover. The next 12–24 hours of observational data and updated local guidance will be the key near-term catalyst before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 25?
26°C 32%
25°C 23%
24°C 4%
23°C or below 2%
NEW
$11,587 Vol.
NEW
$11,587 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
23°C or below
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
23%
26°C
32%
27°C
63%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 32%
25°C 23%
24°C 4%
23°C or below 2%
NEW
$11,587 Vol.
NEW
$11,587 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
23°C or below
$145 Vol.
2%
24°C
$112 Vol.
4%
25°C
$231 Vol.
23%
26°C
$75 Vol.
32%
27°C
$148 Vol.
63%
28°C
$315 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$9,118 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$290 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$140 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$584 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$428 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent subtropical high pressure and clear, humid conditions are anchoring trader expectations for a 27°C low in Wuhan on August 25.** Multiple official and model forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources converge on overnight minima of 27–29°C, reflecting strong radiative cooling under mostly clear skies but limited by high dew points near 26–28°C that suppress further temperature drops. Recent heat warnings and stable model runs with minimal disagreement have reinforced the 27°C (62%) and 26°C (33%) outcomes as the clearest consensus, while probabilities for 25°C or lower remain low absent any incoming frontal system or increased cloud cover. The next 12–24 hours of observational data and updated local guidance will be the key near-term catalyst before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$11,587End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent subtropical high pressure and clear, humid conditions are anchoring trader expectations for a 27°C low in Wuhan on August 25.** Multiple official and model forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources converge on overnight minima of 27–29°C, reflecting strong radiative cooling under mostly clear skies but limited by high dew points near 26–28°C that suppress further temperature drops. Recent heat warnings and stable model runs with minimal disagreement have reinforced the 27°C (62%) and 26°C (33%) outcomes as the clearest consensus, while probabilities for 25°C or lower remain low absent any incoming frontal system or increased cloud cover. The next 12–24 hours of observational data and updated local guidance will be the key near-term catalyst before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,587End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent subtropical high pressure and clear, humid conditions are anchoring trader expectations for a 27°C low in Wuhan on August 25.** Multiple official and model forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources converge on overnight minima of 27–29°C, reflecting strong radiative cooling under mostly clear skies but limited by high dew points near 26–28°C that suppress further temperature drops. Recent heat warnings and stable model runs with minimal disagreement have reinforced the 27°C (62%) and 26°C (33%) outcomes as the clearest consensus, while probabilities for 25°C or lower remain low absent any incoming frontal system or increased cloud cover. The next 12–24 hours of observational data and updated local guidance will be the key near-term catalyst before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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