Recent forecasts from major meteorological services, including BBC Weather and AccuWeather, indicate Wuhan’s minimum temperature on August 25 will likely fall between 25–27°C, aligning closely with late-summer climatological norms for the region’s subtropical monsoon climate. Model consensus shows typical overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds, with no significant frontal systems or precipitation expected to alter the pattern. This positions the 27°C and 26°C outcomes as market leaders, as traders weigh the narrow forecast spread against historical variability in daily lows. Updated model runs and any revisions to humidity or cloud cover ahead of the 24-hour resolution window remain the key variables that could shift these implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 25?
26°C 34%
25°C 23%
23°C or below 9%
24°C 9%
NEW
$11,471 Vol.
NEW
$11,471 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
23°C or below
9%
24°C
9%
25°C
23%
26°C
34%
27°C
62%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 34%
25°C 23%
23°C or below 9%
24°C 9%
NEW
$11,471 Vol.
NEW
$11,471 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
23°C or below
$145 Vol.
9%
24°C
$112 Vol.
9%
25°C
$231 Vol.
23%
26°C
$26 Vol.
34%
27°C
$81 Vol.
62%
28°C
$315 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$9,118 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$290 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$140 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$584 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$428 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major meteorological services, including BBC Weather and AccuWeather, indicate Wuhan’s minimum temperature on August 25 will likely fall between 25–27°C, aligning closely with late-summer climatological norms for the region’s subtropical monsoon climate. Model consensus shows typical overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds, with no significant frontal systems or precipitation expected to alter the pattern. This positions the 27°C and 26°C outcomes as market leaders, as traders weigh the narrow forecast spread against historical variability in daily lows. Updated model runs and any revisions to humidity or cloud cover ahead of the 24-hour resolution window remain the key variables that could shift these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$11,471End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major meteorological services, including BBC Weather and AccuWeather, indicate Wuhan’s minimum temperature on August 25 will likely fall between 25–27°C, aligning closely with late-summer climatological norms for the region’s subtropical monsoon climate. Model consensus shows typical overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds, with no significant frontal systems or precipitation expected to alter the pattern. This positions the 27°C and 26°C outcomes as market leaders, as traders weigh the narrow forecast spread against historical variability in daily lows. Updated model runs and any revisions to humidity or cloud cover ahead of the 24-hour resolution window remain the key variables that could shift these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,471End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major meteorological services, including BBC Weather and AccuWeather, indicate Wuhan’s minimum temperature on August 25 will likely fall between 25–27°C, aligning closely with late-summer climatological norms for the region’s subtropical monsoon climate. Model consensus shows typical overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds, with no significant frontal systems or precipitation expected to alter the pattern. This positions the 27°C and 26°C outcomes as market leaders, as traders weigh the narrow forecast spread against historical variability in daily lows. Updated model runs and any revisions to humidity or cloud cover ahead of the 24-hour resolution window remain the key variables that could shift these implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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