Recent National Environment Agency outlooks and extended forecasts highlight prevailing southwest monsoon conditions with scattered thundery showers expected around August 26, supporting minimum temperatures most likely between 25–28 °C. High humidity and frequent cloud cover restrict nocturnal radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects and light winds further moderate overnight lows near Singapore’s climatological average of 24–26 °C. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability this close to the date, yet small shifts in rainfall timing or wind patterns could nudge the observed minimum across the closely bunched 27 °C and 28 °C market levels. Traders appear to weight these near-term atmospheric factors more heavily than longer-term seasonal baselines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Singapore on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Singapore on August 26?
30°C 46%
28°C 32%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
9%
24°C
19%
25°C
12%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
32%
29°C
20%
30°C
46%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
2%
30°C 46%
28°C 32%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
$145 Vol.
2%
23°C
$15 Vol.
9%
24°C
$2 Vol.
19%
25°C
$2 Vol.
12%
26°C
$1 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$0 Vol.
32%
29°C
$0 Vol.
20%
30°C
$145 Vol.
46%
31°C
$5 Vol.
8%
32°C or higher
$145 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Environment Agency outlooks and extended forecasts highlight prevailing southwest monsoon conditions with scattered thundery showers expected around August 26, supporting minimum temperatures most likely between 25–28 °C. High humidity and frequent cloud cover restrict nocturnal radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects and light winds further moderate overnight lows near Singapore’s climatological average of 24–26 °C. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability this close to the date, yet small shifts in rainfall timing or wind patterns could nudge the observed minimum across the closely bunched 27 °C and 28 °C market levels. Traders appear to weight these near-term atmospheric factors more heavily than longer-term seasonal baselines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$460End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Environment Agency outlooks and extended forecasts highlight prevailing southwest monsoon conditions with scattered thundery showers expected around August 26, supporting minimum temperatures most likely between 25–28 °C. High humidity and frequent cloud cover restrict nocturnal radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects and light winds further moderate overnight lows near Singapore’s climatological average of 24–26 °C. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability this close to the date, yet small shifts in rainfall timing or wind patterns could nudge the observed minimum across the closely bunched 27 °C and 28 °C market levels. Traders appear to weight these near-term atmospheric factors more heavily than longer-term seasonal baselines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$460End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Environment Agency outlooks and extended forecasts highlight prevailing southwest monsoon conditions with scattered thundery showers expected around August 26, supporting minimum temperatures most likely between 25–28 °C. High humidity and frequent cloud cover restrict nocturnal radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects and light winds further moderate overnight lows near Singapore’s climatological average of 24–26 °C. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability this close to the date, yet small shifts in rainfall timing or wind patterns could nudge the observed minimum across the closely bunched 27 °C and 28 °C market levels. Traders appear to weight these near-term atmospheric factors more heavily than longer-term seasonal baselines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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