Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity from seasonal monsoon influences are anchoring Shenzhen's overnight minimum near 26–28 °C on 25 August. Official guidance shows dew points remaining in the mid-20s, limiting radiational cooling, while light southerly winds and widespread rain suppress both daytime maxima and the subsequent nocturnal drop. Forecast models exhibit tight consensus around these values, with minor spreads reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity; historical August lows for the city average near 25 °C, but current conditions favor a slightly milder outcome. Traders are weighting the 26–29 °C band most heavily because any break in cloud cover or reduced precipitation could allow a modest further dip, yet persistent moisture argues against extremes below 25 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 25?
26°C 34%
27°C 34%
29°C 34%
25°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
7%
26°C
34%
27°C
34%
28°C
35%
29°C
34%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 34%
27°C 34%
29°C 34%
25°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
23°C or below
$210 Vol.
1%
24°C
$83 Vol.
1%
25°C
$110 Vol.
7%
26°C
$0 Vol.
34%
27°C
$0 Vol.
34%
28°C
$0 Vol.
35%
29°C
$140 Vol.
34%
30°C
$291 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$663 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$620 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$475 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity from seasonal monsoon influences are anchoring Shenzhen's overnight minimum near 26–28 °C on 25 August. Official guidance shows dew points remaining in the mid-20s, limiting radiational cooling, while light southerly winds and widespread rain suppress both daytime maxima and the subsequent nocturnal drop. Forecast models exhibit tight consensus around these values, with minor spreads reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity; historical August lows for the city average near 25 °C, but current conditions favor a slightly milder outcome. Traders are weighting the 26–29 °C band most heavily because any break in cloud cover or reduced precipitation could allow a modest further dip, yet persistent moisture argues against extremes below 25 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,593End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity from seasonal monsoon influences are anchoring Shenzhen's overnight minimum near 26–28 °C on 25 August. Official guidance shows dew points remaining in the mid-20s, limiting radiational cooling, while light southerly winds and widespread rain suppress both daytime maxima and the subsequent nocturnal drop. Forecast models exhibit tight consensus around these values, with minor spreads reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity; historical August lows for the city average near 25 °C, but current conditions favor a slightly milder outcome. Traders are weighting the 26–29 °C band most heavily because any break in cloud cover or reduced precipitation could allow a modest further dip, yet persistent moisture argues against extremes below 25 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,593End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity from seasonal monsoon influences are anchoring Shenzhen's overnight minimum near 26–28 °C on 25 August. Official guidance shows dew points remaining in the mid-20s, limiting radiational cooling, while light southerly winds and widespread rain suppress both daytime maxima and the subsequent nocturnal drop. Forecast models exhibit tight consensus around these values, with minor spreads reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity; historical August lows for the city average near 25 °C, but current conditions favor a slightly milder outcome. Traders are weighting the 26–29 °C band most heavily because any break in cloud cover or reduced precipitation could allow a modest further dip, yet persistent moisture argues against extremes below 25 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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