Recent official forecasts from agencies including the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models project Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 24 holding at 27°C under cloudy to partly cloudy skies with high humidity and light easterly winds. This aligns with typical late-August subtropical patterns, where urban heat retention and elevated dew points limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows near seasonal averages of 25–27°C rather than dipping lower. The overwhelming market consensus at 27°C reflects traders incorporating these stable conditions and the day's proximity to resolution, which reduces forecast uncertainty. A realistic shift toward 26°C would require unexpected clear skies or stronger winds enhancing cooling, while 28°C could occur only if daytime heat lingers unusually late into the night.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 24?
27°C 99.6%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
$18,384 Vol.
$18,384 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
26°C
1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
27°C 99.6%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
$18,384 Vol.
$18,384 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
26°C
$3,974 Vol.
1%
27°C
$4,286 Vol.
100%
28°C
$5,586 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies including the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models project Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 24 holding at 27°C under cloudy to partly cloudy skies with high humidity and light easterly winds. This aligns with typical late-August subtropical patterns, where urban heat retention and elevated dew points limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows near seasonal averages of 25–27°C rather than dipping lower. The overwhelming market consensus at 27°C reflects traders incorporating these stable conditions and the day's proximity to resolution, which reduces forecast uncertainty. A realistic shift toward 26°C would require unexpected clear skies or stronger winds enhancing cooling, while 28°C could occur only if daytime heat lingers unusually late into the night.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$18,384End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies including the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models project Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 24 holding at 27°C under cloudy to partly cloudy skies with high humidity and light easterly winds. This aligns with typical late-August subtropical patterns, where urban heat retention and elevated dew points limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows near seasonal averages of 25–27°C rather than dipping lower. The overwhelming market consensus at 27°C reflects traders incorporating these stable conditions and the day's proximity to resolution, which reduces forecast uncertainty. A realistic shift toward 26°C would require unexpected clear skies or stronger winds enhancing cooling, while 28°C could occur only if daytime heat lingers unusually late into the night.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,384End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies including the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models project Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 24 holding at 27°C under cloudy to partly cloudy skies with high humidity and light easterly winds. This aligns with typical late-August subtropical patterns, where urban heat retention and elevated dew points limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows near seasonal averages of 25–27°C rather than dipping lower. The overwhelming market consensus at 27°C reflects traders incorporating these stable conditions and the day's proximity to resolution, which reduces forecast uncertainty. A realistic shift toward 26°C would require unexpected clear skies or stronger winds enhancing cooling, while 28°C could occur only if daytime heat lingers unusually late into the night.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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