Official IMD forecasts for Lucknow on August 25 project a minimum temperature near 27°C under generally cloudy skies with spells of rain or thundershowers, consistent with active monsoon conditions. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while light easterly winds and scattered precipitation further moderate overnight lows compared to clearer periods. Recent observations show nightly minima fluctuating between 26–28°C amid variable rainfall, creating tight clustering in market-implied odds around 25–28°C. Traders weigh model consensus on cloud thickness and storm timing against historical August baselines, where monsoon moisture typically prevents sharper drops below 25°C. Updated IMD briefings and regional radar trends through the evening will refine resolution probabilities for this threshold-sensitive outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on August 25?
25°C 34%
27°C 34%
28°C 34%
26°C 30%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
34%
26°C
30%
27°C
34%
28°C
34%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 34%
27°C 34%
28°C 34%
26°C 30%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
$160 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$152 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$157 Vol.
3%
25°C
$0 Vol.
34%
26°C
$0 Vol.
30%
27°C
$0 Vol.
34%
28°C
$0 Vol.
34%
29°C
$215 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$305 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$510 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official IMD forecasts for Lucknow on August 25 project a minimum temperature near 27°C under generally cloudy skies with spells of rain or thundershowers, consistent with active monsoon conditions. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while light easterly winds and scattered precipitation further moderate overnight lows compared to clearer periods. Recent observations show nightly minima fluctuating between 26–28°C amid variable rainfall, creating tight clustering in market-implied odds around 25–28°C. Traders weigh model consensus on cloud thickness and storm timing against historical August baselines, where monsoon moisture typically prevents sharper drops below 25°C. Updated IMD briefings and regional radar trends through the evening will refine resolution probabilities for this threshold-sensitive outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,614End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official IMD forecasts for Lucknow on August 25 project a minimum temperature near 27°C under generally cloudy skies with spells of rain or thundershowers, consistent with active monsoon conditions. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while light easterly winds and scattered precipitation further moderate overnight lows compared to clearer periods. Recent observations show nightly minima fluctuating between 26–28°C amid variable rainfall, creating tight clustering in market-implied odds around 25–28°C. Traders weigh model consensus on cloud thickness and storm timing against historical August baselines, where monsoon moisture typically prevents sharper drops below 25°C. Updated IMD briefings and regional radar trends through the evening will refine resolution probabilities for this threshold-sensitive outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,614End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official IMD forecasts for Lucknow on August 25 project a minimum temperature near 27°C under generally cloudy skies with spells of rain or thundershowers, consistent with active monsoon conditions. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while light easterly winds and scattered precipitation further moderate overnight lows compared to clearer periods. Recent observations show nightly minima fluctuating between 26–28°C amid variable rainfall, creating tight clustering in market-implied odds around 25–28°C. Traders weigh model consensus on cloud thickness and storm timing against historical August baselines, where monsoon moisture typically prevents sharper drops below 25°C. Updated IMD briefings and regional radar trends through the evening will refine resolution probabilities for this threshold-sensitive outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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