Active southwest monsoon conditions, including expected thunderstorms and widespread cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh, are the primary driver keeping Lucknow's minimum temperature elevated around 27–28°C on August 25. High humidity (often 80–95%) and persistent cloudiness limit nocturnal radiative cooling, consistent with India Meteorological Department forecasts of partly to generally cloudy skies with rain or thundershowers and minimums near 27–28°C. Recent observations show nighttime lows of 26–28°C amid normal-to-above-normal monsoon rainfall, with no major shifts in steering patterns or dry-air intrusions anticipated. Trader consensus aligns with these model outputs and climatological norms for August, where such conditions typically prevent drops below 25°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on August 25?
25°C 34%
27°C 34%
26°C 30%
24°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
34%
26°C
30%
27°C
34%
28°C
55%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 34%
27°C 34%
26°C 30%
24°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
$160 Vol.
1%
23°C
$152 Vol.
1%
24°C
$157 Vol.
3%
25°C
$0 Vol.
34%
26°C
$0 Vol.
30%
27°C
$0 Vol.
34%
28°C
$20 Vol.
55%
29°C
$235 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$310 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$510 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active southwest monsoon conditions, including expected thunderstorms and widespread cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh, are the primary driver keeping Lucknow's minimum temperature elevated around 27–28°C on August 25. High humidity (often 80–95%) and persistent cloudiness limit nocturnal radiative cooling, consistent with India Meteorological Department forecasts of partly to generally cloudy skies with rain or thundershowers and minimums near 27–28°C. Recent observations show nighttime lows of 26–28°C amid normal-to-above-normal monsoon rainfall, with no major shifts in steering patterns or dry-air intrusions anticipated. Trader consensus aligns with these model outputs and climatological norms for August, where such conditions typically prevent drops below 25°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,659End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active southwest monsoon conditions, including expected thunderstorms and widespread cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh, are the primary driver keeping Lucknow's minimum temperature elevated around 27–28°C on August 25. High humidity (often 80–95%) and persistent cloudiness limit nocturnal radiative cooling, consistent with India Meteorological Department forecasts of partly to generally cloudy skies with rain or thundershowers and minimums near 27–28°C. Recent observations show nighttime lows of 26–28°C amid normal-to-above-normal monsoon rainfall, with no major shifts in steering patterns or dry-air intrusions anticipated. Trader consensus aligns with these model outputs and climatological norms for August, where such conditions typically prevent drops below 25°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,659End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Active southwest monsoon conditions, including expected thunderstorms and widespread cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh, are the primary driver keeping Lucknow's minimum temperature elevated around 27–28°C on August 25. High humidity (often 80–95%) and persistent cloudiness limit nocturnal radiative cooling, consistent with India Meteorological Department forecasts of partly to generally cloudy skies with rain or thundershowers and minimums near 27–28°C. Recent observations show nighttime lows of 26–28°C amid normal-to-above-normal monsoon rainfall, with no major shifts in steering patterns or dry-air intrusions anticipated. Trader consensus aligns with these model outputs and climatological norms for August, where such conditions typically prevent drops below 25°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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