Recent India Meteorological Department observations and forecasts show Lucknow's minimum temperatures holding near 27°C amid typical late-monsoon conditions, with high humidity, widespread cloud cover, and light easterly winds limiting nighttime radiative cooling. Official Lucknow Airport data recorded a 26.4°C low on August 24, aligning closely with block-level predictions of 27.0–27.2°C across the region. This strong consensus underpins the market's 96% implied probability for 27°C. Clearer skies or a sudden drop in moisture could allow greater cooling and shift the outcome, though current steering patterns and model runs make such changes unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on August 24?
27°C 99.9%
$3,182 Vol.
$3,182 Vol.
27°C
100%
27°C 99.9%
$3,182 Vol.
$3,182 Vol.
27°C
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department observations and forecasts show Lucknow's minimum temperatures holding near 27°C amid typical late-monsoon conditions, with high humidity, widespread cloud cover, and light easterly winds limiting nighttime radiative cooling. Official Lucknow Airport data recorded a 26.4°C low on August 24, aligning closely with block-level predictions of 27.0–27.2°C across the region. This strong consensus underpins the market's 96% implied probability for 27°C. Clearer skies or a sudden drop in moisture could allow greater cooling and shift the outcome, though current steering patterns and model runs make such changes unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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