Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicates an elevated overnight low near 70–73°F for Los Angeles on August 25 amid a strong heat wave driven by high pressure aloft and weak onshore flow. This pattern suppresses the usual marine layer and nocturnal cooling, keeping minimum temperatures several degrees above the long-term average low of ~65°F. Coastal stations such as LAX are most sensitive to any strengthening of the sea breeze or patchy fog after midnight, which could shave a degree or two, while inland areas remain warmer. With forecasts tightly clustered around the low-70s range and limited model spread, trader pricing reflects uncertainty over exact boundary-layer mixing and the timing of any marine intrusion rather than broad disagreement on overall warmth.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 25?
63°F or below 91%
72-73°F 51%
76-77°F 32%
68-69°F 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
63°F or below
91%
64-65°F
22%
66-67°F
15%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
29%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
32%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
13%
82°F or higher
-
63°F or below 91%
72-73°F 51%
76-77°F 32%
68-69°F 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
63°F or below
$145 Vol.
91%
64-65°F
$80 Vol.
22%
66-67°F
$36 Vol.
15%
68-69°F
$32 Vol.
27%
70-71°F
$18 Vol.
29%
72-73°F
$11 Vol.
28%
74-75°F
$1,024 Vol.
12%
76-77°F
$90 Vol.
32%
78-79°F
$10 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$135 Vol.
13%
82°F or higher
$274 Vol.
-
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicates an elevated overnight low near 70–73°F for Los Angeles on August 25 amid a strong heat wave driven by high pressure aloft and weak onshore flow. This pattern suppresses the usual marine layer and nocturnal cooling, keeping minimum temperatures several degrees above the long-term average low of ~65°F. Coastal stations such as LAX are most sensitive to any strengthening of the sea breeze or patchy fog after midnight, which could shave a degree or two, while inland areas remain warmer. With forecasts tightly clustered around the low-70s range and limited model spread, trader pricing reflects uncertainty over exact boundary-layer mixing and the timing of any marine intrusion rather than broad disagreement on overall warmth.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$1,856End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicates an elevated overnight low near 70–73°F for Los Angeles on August 25 amid a strong heat wave driven by high pressure aloft and weak onshore flow. This pattern suppresses the usual marine layer and nocturnal cooling, keeping minimum temperatures several degrees above the long-term average low of ~65°F. Coastal stations such as LAX are most sensitive to any strengthening of the sea breeze or patchy fog after midnight, which could shave a degree or two, while inland areas remain warmer. With forecasts tightly clustered around the low-70s range and limited model spread, trader pricing reflects uncertainty over exact boundary-layer mixing and the timing of any marine intrusion rather than broad disagreement on overall warmth.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,856End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicates an elevated overnight low near 70–73°F for Los Angeles on August 25 amid a strong heat wave driven by high pressure aloft and weak onshore flow. This pattern suppresses the usual marine layer and nocturnal cooling, keeping minimum temperatures several degrees above the long-term average low of ~65°F. Coastal stations such as LAX are most sensitive to any strengthening of the sea breeze or patchy fog after midnight, which could shave a degree or two, while inland areas remain warmer. With forecasts tightly clustered around the low-70s range and limited model spread, trader pricing reflects uncertainty over exact boundary-layer mixing and the timing of any marine intrusion rather than broad disagreement on overall warmth.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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