**Official National Weather Service observations from primary Los Angeles stations, including LAX, recorded a minimum temperature in the 70–71°F range on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcome at 62.5% implied probability.** This reflects a warmer-than-average night driven by a strong high-pressure system producing clear skies, light winds, and limited marine layer intrusion, which reduced radiational cooling compared to the 1991–2020 climatological low near 65°F. Daytime highs reached the mid-80s to upper 90s inland, consistent with the seasonal pattern but supporting elevated overnight minima. Recent model guidance and preliminary reports before final verification reinforced trader expectations for this narrow band over cooler 68–69°F possibilities. Resolution hinges on the precise NWS climatological summary, with minimal uncertainty given the stable synoptic conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 24?
70-71°F 96%
68-69°F 2%
66-67°F <1%
61°F or below <1%
$2,686 Vol.
$2,686 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
96%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 96%
68-69°F 2%
66-67°F <1%
61°F or below <1%
$2,686 Vol.
$2,686 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
61°F or below
$190 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$143 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$119 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$148 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$127 Vol.
2%
70-71°F
$358 Vol.
96%
72-73°F
$516 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$120 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$305 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$200 Vol.
<1%
80°F or higher
$460 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service observations from primary Los Angeles stations, including LAX, recorded a minimum temperature in the 70–71°F range on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcome at 62.5% implied probability.** This reflects a warmer-than-average night driven by a strong high-pressure system producing clear skies, light winds, and limited marine layer intrusion, which reduced radiational cooling compared to the 1991–2020 climatological low near 65°F. Daytime highs reached the mid-80s to upper 90s inland, consistent with the seasonal pattern but supporting elevated overnight minima. Recent model guidance and preliminary reports before final verification reinforced trader expectations for this narrow band over cooler 68–69°F possibilities. Resolution hinges on the precise NWS climatological summary, with minimal uncertainty given the stable synoptic conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$2,686End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service observations from primary Los Angeles stations, including LAX, recorded a minimum temperature in the 70–71°F range on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcome at 62.5% implied probability.** This reflects a warmer-than-average night driven by a strong high-pressure system producing clear skies, light winds, and limited marine layer intrusion, which reduced radiational cooling compared to the 1991–2020 climatological low near 65°F. Daytime highs reached the mid-80s to upper 90s inland, consistent with the seasonal pattern but supporting elevated overnight minima. Recent model guidance and preliminary reports before final verification reinforced trader expectations for this narrow band over cooler 68–69°F possibilities. Resolution hinges on the precise NWS climatological summary, with minimal uncertainty given the stable synoptic conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,686End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official National Weather Service observations from primary Los Angeles stations, including LAX, recorded a minimum temperature in the 70–71°F range on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcome at 62.5% implied probability.** This reflects a warmer-than-average night driven by a strong high-pressure system producing clear skies, light winds, and limited marine layer intrusion, which reduced radiational cooling compared to the 1991–2020 climatological low near 65°F. Daytime highs reached the mid-80s to upper 90s inland, consistent with the seasonal pattern but supporting elevated overnight minima. Recent model guidance and preliminary reports before final verification reinforced trader expectations for this narrow band over cooler 68–69°F possibilities. Resolution hinges on the precise NWS climatological summary, with minimal uncertainty given the stable synoptic conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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