Official Met Office forecasts for London on August 25 project overnight lows of 16–18°C under initially clear skies transitioning to increasing cloud cover and light easterly winds, with dew points near 11–13°C limiting further cooling. Recent observational data from Heathrow and central stations show recent nights bottoming at 10.7–12.7°C, but warmer advection and reduced radiative cooling tonight tighten the expected minimum to the 15–16°C band. Model consensus and historical August climatology support this narrow range, driving the closely matched market-implied odds of 44.5% for 16°C and 38.5% for 15°C while leaving lower outcomes at minimal probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on August 25?
Lowest temperature in London on August 25?
16°C 48%
15°C 28%
14°C 11%
13°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
7%
15°C
37%
16°C
46%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 48%
15°C 28%
14°C 11%
13°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
11°C or below
$531 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$69 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$139 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$213 Vol.
7%
15°C
$646 Vol.
37%
16°C
$2,025 Vol.
46%
17°C
$2,589 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$884 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$764 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$776 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$126 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office forecasts for London on August 25 project overnight lows of 16–18°C under initially clear skies transitioning to increasing cloud cover and light easterly winds, with dew points near 11–13°C limiting further cooling. Recent observational data from Heathrow and central stations show recent nights bottoming at 10.7–12.7°C, but warmer advection and reduced radiative cooling tonight tighten the expected minimum to the 15–16°C band. Model consensus and historical August climatology support this narrow range, driving the closely matched market-implied odds of 44.5% for 16°C and 38.5% for 15°C while leaving lower outcomes at minimal probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$8,762End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office forecasts for London on August 25 project overnight lows of 16–18°C under initially clear skies transitioning to increasing cloud cover and light easterly winds, with dew points near 11–13°C limiting further cooling. Recent observational data from Heathrow and central stations show recent nights bottoming at 10.7–12.7°C, but warmer advection and reduced radiative cooling tonight tighten the expected minimum to the 15–16°C band. Model consensus and historical August climatology support this narrow range, driving the closely matched market-implied odds of 44.5% for 16°C and 38.5% for 15°C while leaving lower outcomes at minimal probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,762End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Met Office forecasts for London on August 25 project overnight lows of 16–18°C under initially clear skies transitioning to increasing cloud cover and light easterly winds, with dew points near 11–13°C limiting further cooling. Recent observational data from Heathrow and central stations show recent nights bottoming at 10.7–12.7°C, but warmer advection and reduced radiative cooling tonight tighten the expected minimum to the 15–16°C band. Model consensus and historical August climatology support this narrow range, driving the closely matched market-implied odds of 44.5% for 16°C and 38.5% for 15°C while leaving lower outcomes at minimal probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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