The market consensus at 100% for a 13°C minimum reflects the official NOAA recording of that exact value as the lowest temperature at London City Airport on August 24, 2026. High-pressure dominance produced clear skies and light easterly winds, enabling efficient nocturnal radiative cooling that aligned closely with Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance projecting a 13–15°C overnight low range. This outcome matches the site's typical August climatology near 13.5°C while falling short of warmer recent analogs. Data revisions remain possible until the next day's observations are published, though historical practice shows minimal adjustments for settled conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on August 24?
13°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$9,297 Vol.
$9,297 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
13°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$9,297 Vol.
$9,297 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:28 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market consensus at 100% for a 13°C minimum reflects the official NOAA recording of that exact value as the lowest temperature at London City Airport on August 24, 2026. High-pressure dominance produced clear skies and light easterly winds, enabling efficient nocturnal radiative cooling that aligned closely with Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance projecting a 13–15°C overnight low range. This outcome matches the site's typical August climatology near 13.5°C while falling short of warmer recent analogs. Data revisions remain possible until the next day's observations are published, though historical practice shows minimal adjustments for settled conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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