**Latest official forecasts from MetService and multiple models indicate a daytime maximum of 15–16°C for Wellington on August 25 under gusty northwesterlies and variable high cloud, with limited sunshine keeping temperatures from climbing higher.** Recent observations show the city reached 17°C on August 23 amid stronger northerly flow before cooler maritime air moderated readings to 15°C on the 24th; today’s setup features similar advection of milder air masses but increased cloud cover that caps radiative heating. Historical August maxima average near 13–14°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly. Market-implied odds heavily favor 16°C (70%) over 17°C (27%), reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and the narrow window for additional warming before the peak observation period ends. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum reported by monitoring stations, with any late-afternoon clearing potentially shifting outcomes toward the upper end of the range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on August 25?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 25?
17°C 45%
16°C 43%
18°C 3.4%
10°C or below <1%
NEW
$33,289 Vol.
NEW
$33,289 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
43%
17°C
45%
18°C
3%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
17°C 45%
16°C 43%
18°C 3.4%
10°C or below <1%
NEW
$33,289 Vol.
NEW
$33,289 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
10°C or below
$650 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$628 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$239 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,693 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$4,006 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$6,354 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$9,657 Vol.
43%
17°C
$4,498 Vol.
45%
18°C
$3,784 Vol.
3%
19°C
$238 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$1,541 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official forecasts from MetService and multiple models indicate a daytime maximum of 15–16°C for Wellington on August 25 under gusty northwesterlies and variable high cloud, with limited sunshine keeping temperatures from climbing higher.** Recent observations show the city reached 17°C on August 23 amid stronger northerly flow before cooler maritime air moderated readings to 15°C on the 24th; today’s setup features similar advection of milder air masses but increased cloud cover that caps radiative heating. Historical August maxima average near 13–14°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly. Market-implied odds heavily favor 16°C (70%) over 17°C (27%), reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and the narrow window for additional warming before the peak observation period ends. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum reported by monitoring stations, with any late-afternoon clearing potentially shifting outcomes toward the upper end of the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$33,289End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official forecasts from MetService and multiple models indicate a daytime maximum of 15–16°C for Wellington on August 25 under gusty northwesterlies and variable high cloud, with limited sunshine keeping temperatures from climbing higher.** Recent observations show the city reached 17°C on August 23 amid stronger northerly flow before cooler maritime air moderated readings to 15°C on the 24th; today’s setup features similar advection of milder air masses but increased cloud cover that caps radiative heating. Historical August maxima average near 13–14°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly. Market-implied odds heavily favor 16°C (70%) over 17°C (27%), reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and the narrow window for additional warming before the peak observation period ends. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum reported by monitoring stations, with any late-afternoon clearing potentially shifting outcomes toward the upper end of the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33,289End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest official forecasts from MetService and multiple models indicate a daytime maximum of 15–16°C for Wellington on August 25 under gusty northwesterlies and variable high cloud, with limited sunshine keeping temperatures from climbing higher.** Recent observations show the city reached 17°C on August 23 amid stronger northerly flow before cooler maritime air moderated readings to 15°C on the 24th; today’s setup features similar advection of milder air masses but increased cloud cover that caps radiative heating. Historical August maxima average near 13–14°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly. Market-implied odds heavily favor 16°C (70%) over 17°C (27%), reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and the narrow window for additional warming before the peak observation period ends. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum reported by monitoring stations, with any late-afternoon clearing potentially shifting outcomes toward the upper end of the range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions