Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources indicate mostly sunny conditions with highs near 33–34°C in Tel Aviv on August 26, aligning with the market's strongest implied probabilities. Persistent summer high pressure and above-average sea-surface temperatures in the eastern Mediterranean support stable, warm conditions without significant advection of cooler air or cloud cover that could suppress maxima. Recent August observations show daily highs frequently reaching 32–35°C, consistent with climatological baselines near 30–32°C but elevated by regional heat trends. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread for this short lead time, though minor shifts in wind or boundary-layer moisture could alter the peak by 1°C. Updated model runs and IMS briefings expected overnight will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 26?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 26?
33°C 58%
34°C 33%
32°C 8%
35°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
8%
33°C
58%
34°C
33%
35°C
4%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 58%
34°C 33%
32°C 8%
35°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
29°C or below
$210 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$137 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$196 Vol.
3%
32°C
$308 Vol.
8%
33°C
$1,395 Vol.
58%
34°C
$342 Vol.
33%
35°C
$239 Vol.
4%
36°C
$245 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$118 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$47 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$876 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources indicate mostly sunny conditions with highs near 33–34°C in Tel Aviv on August 26, aligning with the market's strongest implied probabilities. Persistent summer high pressure and above-average sea-surface temperatures in the eastern Mediterranean support stable, warm conditions without significant advection of cooler air or cloud cover that could suppress maxima. Recent August observations show daily highs frequently reaching 32–35°C, consistent with climatological baselines near 30–32°C but elevated by regional heat trends. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread for this short lead time, though minor shifts in wind or boundary-layer moisture could alter the peak by 1°C. Updated model runs and IMS briefings expected overnight will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,113End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources indicate mostly sunny conditions with highs near 33–34°C in Tel Aviv on August 26, aligning with the market's strongest implied probabilities. Persistent summer high pressure and above-average sea-surface temperatures in the eastern Mediterranean support stable, warm conditions without significant advection of cooler air or cloud cover that could suppress maxima. Recent August observations show daily highs frequently reaching 32–35°C, consistent with climatological baselines near 30–32°C but elevated by regional heat trends. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread for this short lead time, though minor shifts in wind or boundary-layer moisture could alter the peak by 1°C. Updated model runs and IMS briefings expected overnight will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,113End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources indicate mostly sunny conditions with highs near 33–34°C in Tel Aviv on August 26, aligning with the market's strongest implied probabilities. Persistent summer high pressure and above-average sea-surface temperatures in the eastern Mediterranean support stable, warm conditions without significant advection of cooler air or cloud cover that could suppress maxima. Recent August observations show daily highs frequently reaching 32–35°C, consistent with climatological baselines near 30–32°C but elevated by regional heat trends. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread for this short lead time, though minor shifts in wind or boundary-layer moisture could alter the peak by 1°C. Updated model runs and IMS briefings expected overnight will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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