Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, with light westerly winds, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover expected to drive daytime heating in Tel Aviv. This setup aligns with late-August climatology, where daily maxima typically reach 30–32 °C, but recent model runs show potential for a brief peak near 33 °C under clear skies. The market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C (73.5 %) versus 34 °C (17.5 %) reflects trader consensus on these moderate conditions, with lower outcomes discounted due to limited cooling influence from the sea. Updated guidance tomorrow morning from official agencies will provide the final inputs for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 25?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 25?
33°C 74%
34°C 18%
32°C 8%
31°C <1%
NEW
$14,892 Vol.
NEW
$14,892 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
8%
33°C
74%
34°C
18%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 74%
34°C 18%
32°C 8%
31°C <1%
NEW
$14,892 Vol.
NEW
$14,892 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
29°C or below
$866 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,233 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$879 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,005 Vol.
8%
33°C
$5,454 Vol.
74%
34°C
$2,384 Vol.
18%
35°C
$690 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$229 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$271 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$593 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$294 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, with light westerly winds, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover expected to drive daytime heating in Tel Aviv. This setup aligns with late-August climatology, where daily maxima typically reach 30–32 °C, but recent model runs show potential for a brief peak near 33 °C under clear skies. The market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C (73.5 %) versus 34 °C (17.5 %) reflects trader consensus on these moderate conditions, with lower outcomes discounted due to limited cooling influence from the sea. Updated guidance tomorrow morning from official agencies will provide the final inputs for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$14,892End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, with light westerly winds, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover expected to drive daytime heating in Tel Aviv. This setup aligns with late-August climatology, where daily maxima typically reach 30–32 °C, but recent model runs show potential for a brief peak near 33 °C under clear skies. The market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C (73.5 %) versus 34 °C (17.5 %) reflects trader consensus on these moderate conditions, with lower outcomes discounted due to limited cooling influence from the sea. Updated guidance tomorrow morning from official agencies will provide the final inputs for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,892End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, with light westerly winds, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover expected to drive daytime heating in Tel Aviv. This setup aligns with late-August climatology, where daily maxima typically reach 30–32 °C, but recent model runs show potential for a brief peak near 33 °C under clear skies. The market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C (73.5 %) versus 34 °C (17.5 %) reflects trader consensus on these moderate conditions, with lower outcomes discounted due to limited cooling influence from the sea. Updated guidance tomorrow morning from official agencies will provide the final inputs for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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