Persistent cloud cover, high humidity above 90%, and widespread showers or thunderstorms from tropical moisture are suppressing daytime heating in Taipei on August 25, keeping the maximum temperature near or slightly below seasonal norms. Official Central Weather Administration guidance and multiple forecast models converge on a daytime range of 26–31°C, with precipitation limiting solar insolation and surface warming. This uncertainty in exact peak intensity—driven by shower timing, cloud thickness, and local wind patterns—explains the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 30°C or 31°C over higher or much lower outcomes. Traders are weighting the balance of model runs and real-time observations showing modest highs rather than the typical 32°C August average.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 25?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 25?
30°C 35%
31°C 30%
32°C 12%
29°C 11%
NEW
$48,732 Vol.
NEW
$48,732 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
11%
30°C
35%
31°C
30%
32°C
12%
33°C
8%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
2%
30°C 35%
31°C 30%
32°C 12%
29°C 11%
NEW
$48,732 Vol.
NEW
$48,732 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
$194 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$772 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$9,135 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$10,406 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$5,306 Vol.
11%
30°C
$2,529 Vol.
35%
31°C
$2,913 Vol.
30%
32°C
$4,020 Vol.
12%
33°C
$2,143 Vol.
8%
34°C
$2,595 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$10,798 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, high humidity above 90%, and widespread showers or thunderstorms from tropical moisture are suppressing daytime heating in Taipei on August 25, keeping the maximum temperature near or slightly below seasonal norms. Official Central Weather Administration guidance and multiple forecast models converge on a daytime range of 26–31°C, with precipitation limiting solar insolation and surface warming. This uncertainty in exact peak intensity—driven by shower timing, cloud thickness, and local wind patterns—explains the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 30°C or 31°C over higher or much lower outcomes. Traders are weighting the balance of model runs and real-time observations showing modest highs rather than the typical 32°C August average.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$48,732End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, high humidity above 90%, and widespread showers or thunderstorms from tropical moisture are suppressing daytime heating in Taipei on August 25, keeping the maximum temperature near or slightly below seasonal norms. Official Central Weather Administration guidance and multiple forecast models converge on a daytime range of 26–31°C, with precipitation limiting solar insolation and surface warming. This uncertainty in exact peak intensity—driven by shower timing, cloud thickness, and local wind patterns—explains the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 30°C or 31°C over higher or much lower outcomes. Traders are weighting the balance of model runs and real-time observations showing modest highs rather than the typical 32°C August average.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$48,732End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, high humidity above 90%, and widespread showers or thunderstorms from tropical moisture are suppressing daytime heating in Taipei on August 25, keeping the maximum temperature near or slightly below seasonal norms. Official Central Weather Administration guidance and multiple forecast models converge on a daytime range of 26–31°C, with precipitation limiting solar insolation and surface warming. This uncertainty in exact peak intensity—driven by shower timing, cloud thickness, and local wind patterns—explains the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 30°C or 31°C over higher or much lower outcomes. Traders are weighting the balance of model runs and real-time observations showing modest highs rather than the typical 32°C August average.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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